{"id":33358,"date":"2026-11-05T14:43:38","date_gmt":"2026-11-05T17:43:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=33358"},"modified":"2026-11-05T14:43:38","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T17:43:38","slug":"esperaba-un-crecimiento-mas-alto-el-gobierno-reconocio-una-recuperacion-mas-debil-pero-minimizo-una-posible-recesion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=33358","title":{"rendered":"\u201cEsperaba un crecimiento m\u00e1s alto\u201d: el Gobierno reconoci\u00f3 una recuperaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil pero minimiz\u00f3 una posible recesi\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ai-tools\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-listen\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14.99 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class=\"ai-tools-label\">Escuchar<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-keypoints\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5.99679 1H12.4609C13.0887 1 13.6 1.52731 13.6 2.17489V13.8251C13.6 14.4727 13.0887 15 12.4609 15H3.53913C2.91126 15 2.39999 14.4727 2.39999 13.8251V9.19802V4.57092L5.99679 1Z\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M2.39999 5.38502H6.94416V3.94555V1\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 12.2L5.50657 12.2C5.32834 12.2 5.2037 11.8667 5.20008 11.517C5.19587 11.1484 5.32111 10.8 5.50657 10.8L10.4813 10.8C10.6632 10.8 10.795 11.105 10.7998 11.4804C10.8047 11.8341 10.6842 12.2 10.491 12.2Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 9.4L5.50657 9.4C5.32834 9.4 5.2037 9.0666 5.20008 8.71694C5.19587 8.34831 5.32111 8 5.50657 8L10.4813 8C10.6632 8 10.795 8.30494 10.7998 8.68035C10.8047 9.03408 10.6842 9.4 10.491 9.4Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"ai-tools-label\">Puntos clave<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-summary\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M10.1798 2.50989H2.00488C1.45082 2.50989 0.999667 2.97515 0.999667 3.54653V13.8259C0.999667 14.3973 1.45082 14.8626 2.00488 14.8626H9.87772C10.4318 14.8626 10.8829 14.3973 10.8829 13.8259V9.74329V8.13118\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.1892 0.937134C10.6648 0.938475 11.1562 1.16366 11.4167 1.62561C11.55 1.86167 11.6275 2.09395 11.6863 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srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/LQ6QHRBTNVAVVKYY27WKYH5QJM.jpg?auth=4e54180582e14803efafcb1e6645550ee33449955a030db8a3586ba31f908806&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/LQ6QHRBTNVAVVKYY27WKYH5QJM.jpg?auth=4e54180582e14803efafcb1e6645550ee33449955a030db8a3586ba31f908806&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/LQ6QHRBTNVAVVKYY27WKYH5QJM.jpg?auth=4e54180582e14803efafcb1e6645550ee33449955a030db8a3586ba31f908806&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/LQ6QHRBTNVAVVKYY27WKYH5QJM.jpg?auth=4e54180582e14803efafcb1e6645550ee33449955a030db8a3586ba31f908806&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/LQ6QHRBTNVAVVKYY27WKYH5QJM.jpg?auth=4e54180582e14803efafcb1e6645550ee33449955a030db8a3586ba31f908806&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"16\u00b0 Foro Radar ABECEB\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"1153\" loading=\"eager\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/LQ6QHRBTNVAVVKYY27WKYH5QJM.jpg?auth=4e54180582e14803efafcb1e6645550ee33449955a030db8a3586ba31f908806&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" width=\"2048\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-container display_flex sharebar-new\" style=\"opacity:1\">\n<div class=\"share-bar-article-date-container \"><span class=\"sharebar-article-date\">05 Nov, 2026 12:28 p. m. EST<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-container display_flex\">\n<div aria-label=\"Guardar\" class=\"sharebar-buttons button-save\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg width=\"9\" height=\"12\" viewbox=\"0 0 8 10\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"saved-icon saved\"><path d=\"M6.64286 0.5V9.31687L4.1116 7.16407L4.11106 7.16361C3.79894 6.89891 3.34392 6.89891 3.03179 7.16361L3.03126 7.16407L0.5 9.31687V0.5H6.64286Z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"buttons-save-text\">Guardar<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-separator\"><\/div>\n<p><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Telegram\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M24.9696 12.5511L10.3405 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18.9315H20.2236V27H17.3629L17.3544 26.9921Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Whatsapp\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M21.2863 19.9439C21.0997 19.8551 20.9664 19.9262 20.8419 20.0861C20.6731 20.3261 20.4687 20.5483 20.2909 20.7794C20.1665 20.9393 20.0243 20.9749 19.8376 20.8949C18.6645 20.4239 17.7757 19.6506 17.1269 18.5841C17.0292 18.4242 17.038 18.2997 17.1536 18.1575C17.3225 17.9531 17.4824 17.7576 17.6157 17.5354C17.678 17.4287 17.7135 17.2599 17.678 17.1532C17.4735 16.6111 17.2425 16.0867 17.0114 15.5535C16.9669 15.4557 16.8781 15.3313 16.7892 15.3224C16.4248 15.2602 16.0426 15.1891 15.7316 15.4912C15.1094 16.0778 14.8784 16.7977 15.0383 17.6243C15.1805 18.3619 15.5983 18.9663 16.0426 19.5618C16.887 20.6638 17.8646 21.6237 19.1622 22.1925C19.7932 22.4769 20.4331 22.7613 21.1441 22.7613C21.2685 22.7613 21.393 22.7613 21.5085 22.7346C22.4506 22.5391 23.1172 22.0058 23.0816 21.0193C23.0816 20.9216 23.0194 20.7794 22.9483 20.7438C22.3973 20.4594 21.8462 20.2017 21.2863 19.9439Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><path d=\"M26.9482 17.8724C26.3972 13.4642 22.1401 10.3447 17.7229 11.1179C12.6481 11.9977 9.71521 17.2859 11.6883 21.9963C12.1948 22.6629 12.0615 23.3472 11.8216 24.0849C11.5105 25.027 11.2794 26.0046 11.0039 27C11.1194 26.9733 11.1994 26.9644 11.2794 26.9378C12.5059 26.6178 13.7324 26.3068 14.9411 25.9868C15.1544 25.9335 15.3144 25.9602 15.5099 26.0579C17.1719 26.8667 18.9227 27.0978 20.718 26.7067C24.833 25.7913 27.4548 22.0496 26.9305 17.8902L26.9482 17.8724ZM20.0515 25.4624C18.4784 25.7113 17.003 25.3913 15.6166 24.6003C15.5099 24.5381 15.3411 24.5115 15.2077 24.547C14.4612 24.7248 13.7146 24.9292 12.9147 25.1336C13.1192 24.3693 13.3058 23.6672 13.5102 22.9473C13.5635 22.7606 13.5369 22.6273 13.4391 22.4673C11.0039 18.5479 13.1014 13.5442 17.6163 12.5043C21.2868 11.6511 25.0285 14.1841 25.5884 17.908C26.1395 21.5519 23.6954 24.8936 20.0515 25.4624Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"1\"><b>El viceministro de Econom\u00eda, Jos\u00e9 Luis Daza,<\/b> admiti\u00f3 que <b>el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de la Argentina qued\u00f3 por debajo de lo que el Gobierno esperaba<\/b>, aunque rechaz\u00f3 encuadrar la situaci\u00f3n actual como una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica y pidi\u00f3 mirar \u201c<i>el big picture\u201d<\/i> (foto completa). El n\u00famero 2 del ministro Luis Caputo habl\u00f3 en el marco del <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/11\/05\/la-principal-camara-de-eeuu-anticipo-que-la-derrota-de-trump-limitara-una-posible-asistencia-financiera-a-la-argentina\">16\u00b0 Foro <\/a><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/11\/05\/la-principal-camara-de-eeuu-anticipo-que-la-derrota-de-trump-limitara-una-posible-asistencia-financiera-a-la-argentina\"><b>ABECEB<\/b><\/a>, celebrado en el Faena Art Center de Buenos Aires, horas despu\u00e9s de que <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/11\/05\/la-principal-camara-de-eeuu-anticipo-que-la-derrota-de-trump-limitara-una-posible-asistencia-financiera-a-la-argentina\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/11\/05\/la-principal-camara-de-eeuu-anticipo-que-la-derrota-de-trump-limitara-una-posible-asistencia-financiera-a-la-argentina\/\">otro expositor del mismo evento advirtiera que el control dem\u00f3crata del Congreso de <b>Estados Unidos<\/b> podr\u00eda limitar la asistencia financiera a la <b>Argentina<\/b>.<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-1\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"2\">\u201cYo esperaba un crecimiento m\u00e1s alto, sobre todo despu\u00e9s de lo que empieza en el proceso entre febrero y junio\u201d, afirm\u00f3 el funcionario. Reconoci\u00f3 que el nivel de actividad es <b>\u201cmuy bajo\u201d<\/b> y que los resultados son <b>\u201cmenores\u201d a lo que esperaban<\/b>, pero encuadr\u00f3 esa lectura dentro de un proceso m\u00e1s amplio que, seg\u00fan sostuvo, \u201cva en la direcci\u00f3n correcta\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"3\">La econom\u00eda acumula cinco meses de estancamiento en la <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/10\/25\/crecimiento-mas-lento-estancamiento-o-recesion-las-claves-del-debate-sobre-que-pasara-con-la-economia-argentina\">tendencia-ciclo del EMAE<\/a> y los analistas advierten que se necesitar\u00eda un salto de 8,5% en septiembre \u2014cifra que los propios economistas calificaron de \u201cpr\u00e1cticamente imposible\u201d\u2014 para evitar una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica; Daza no esquiv\u00f3 el tema pero le quit\u00f3 peso: <b>\u201cEsas terminolog\u00edas de declaraci\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica son cosas contables. Mov\u00edas un mes para ac\u00e1 y no iba a ser una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica, mov\u00edas un mes para ac\u00e1, va a ser una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica\u201d<\/b>, se\u00f1al\u00f3. Y agreg\u00f3: \u201cMiremos el <i>big picture<\/i>. Es decir, pregunt\u00e9monos hacia d\u00f3nde vamos, si es sostenible, si estamos haciendo las cosas correctas\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-3\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"4\">El viceministro reconoci\u00f3 que el a\u00f1o arranc\u00f3 condicionado por los <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/10\/26\/por-que-la-economia-argentina-llegara-a-las-elecciones-con-un-crecimiento-mas-debil-que-lo-previsto\">efectos de la crisis financiera de 2025<\/a> y que eso debilit\u00f3 al sector financiero y la capacidad de tomar cr\u00e9dito. Describi\u00f3 un proceso que entre febrero y junio gener\u00f3 un c\u00edrculo virtuoso \u2014baja de tasas, recuperaci\u00f3n del cr\u00e9dito, mejora de expectativas\u2014 que luego fue interrumpido por un shock externo. \u201cA partir de julio tuvimos un shock de tasas. <b>Indudablemente, eso tuvo un efecto\u201d,<\/b> admiti\u00f3. Pero indic\u00f3 que hacia fines de a\u00f1o vuelve a ver se\u00f1ales de recuperaci\u00f3n leve y que el comportamiento del sector externo es \u201cextraordinario\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/GEMWOCFKKREZ7A642QUL7CV5NE.jpg?auth=8b4d93603d88bab55a3b23328d0b5c0929e531ba0619dc2e91e29716de46e8cf&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/GEMWOCFKKREZ7A642QUL7CV5NE.jpg?auth=8b4d93603d88bab55a3b23328d0b5c0929e531ba0619dc2e91e29716de46e8cf&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/GEMWOCFKKREZ7A642QUL7CV5NE.jpg?auth=8b4d93603d88bab55a3b23328d0b5c0929e531ba0619dc2e91e29716de46e8cf&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/GEMWOCFKKREZ7A642QUL7CV5NE.jpg?auth=8b4d93603d88bab55a3b23328d0b5c0929e531ba0619dc2e91e29716de46e8cf&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/GEMWOCFKKREZ7A642QUL7CV5NE.jpg?auth=8b4d93603d88bab55a3b23328d0b5c0929e531ba0619dc2e91e29716de46e8cf&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"16\u00b0 Foro Radar ABECEB\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1153\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/GEMWOCFKKREZ7A642QUL7CV5NE.jpg?auth=8b4d93603d88bab55a3b23328d0b5c0929e531ba0619dc2e91e29716de46e8cf&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" width=\"2048\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"el-interes-de-estados-unidos-por-la-argentina\">El inter\u00e9s de Estados Unidos por la Argentina<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"5\">La otra l\u00ednea central de su intervenci\u00f3n fue la respuesta al planteo que horas antes hab\u00eda formulado <b>Gary Litman<\/b>, vicepresidente senior de la <b>C\u00e1mara de Comercio de Estados Unidos<\/b> (US Chamber of Commerce): que con un Congreso dividido \u2014y ahora bajo control dem\u00f3crata\u2014 la capacidad de Washington para asistir financieramente a pa\u00edses como la Argentina se vuelve m\u00e1s estrecha.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-5\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"6\">Daza descart\u00f3 que ese escenario represente un riesgo real para el v\u00ednculo bilateral. <b>\u201cEl inter\u00e9s de Estados Unidos por la Argentina trasciende totalmente al partido pol\u00edtico que est\u00e1. Esto es estrat\u00e9gico de mediano y de largo plazo\u201d<\/b>, afirm\u00f3. Y traz\u00f3 una l\u00ednea de continuidad que abarca administraciones de distinto signo: \u201cViene de la primera administraci\u00f3n del presidente Trump, vino de la administraci\u00f3n del presidente Biden. \u00c9l es el que acentu\u00f3\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_1 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_1\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"7\">El argumento del funcionario es que lo que une a Washington con Buenos Aires no es pol\u00edtica partidaria sino inter\u00e9s estrat\u00e9gico concreto: la <b>Argentina<\/b> tiene energ\u00eda en abundancia, cobre \u2014clave para la electrificaci\u00f3n\u2014, uranio y otros minerales cr\u00edticos que se volvieron centrales en la disputa tecnol\u00f3gica global entre Estados Unidos y <b>China<\/b>. \u201cHay intereses nacionales que son much\u00edsimo m\u00e1s importantes que la disputa pol\u00edtica de corto plazo\u201d, sostuvo.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"8\">Para explicar por qu\u00e9 ese inter\u00e9s es estructural y no coyuntural, Daza traz\u00f3 un recorrido que arranca en la ca\u00edda del Muro de Berl\u00edn y llega hasta la guerra fr\u00eda tecnol\u00f3gica actual. Describi\u00f3 c\u00f3mo la hiperespecializaci\u00f3n productiva post-1989 llev\u00f3 a que el comercio internacional pasara de representar el 33% del producto mundial al 65%, y c\u00f3mo la pandemia expuso la vulnerabilidad de depender de <b>China<\/b> para bienes esenciales: vacunas, barbijos, chips.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UYRO43BLYNG2BDM6IPJWTNMVOY.jpg?auth=827dfa331138c907e2d36e2b137ee6c24d3ea02b3c9af5eeef1a4dbebfc2400a&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UYRO43BLYNG2BDM6IPJWTNMVOY.jpg?auth=827dfa331138c907e2d36e2b137ee6c24d3ea02b3c9af5eeef1a4dbebfc2400a&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UYRO43BLYNG2BDM6IPJWTNMVOY.jpg?auth=827dfa331138c907e2d36e2b137ee6c24d3ea02b3c9af5eeef1a4dbebfc2400a&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UYRO43BLYNG2BDM6IPJWTNMVOY.jpg?auth=827dfa331138c907e2d36e2b137ee6c24d3ea02b3c9af5eeef1a4dbebfc2400a&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UYRO43BLYNG2BDM6IPJWTNMVOY.jpg?auth=827dfa331138c907e2d36e2b137ee6c24d3ea02b3c9af5eeef1a4dbebfc2400a&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"16\u00b0 Foro Radar ABECEB\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1153\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UYRO43BLYNG2BDM6IPJWTNMVOY.jpg?auth=827dfa331138c907e2d36e2b137ee6c24d3ea02b3c9af5eeef1a4dbebfc2400a&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" width=\"2048\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"9\"><b>\u201cChina importa al a\u00f1o USD 350.000 millones en petr\u00f3leo. En chips importa casi USD 700.000 millones\u201d<\/b>, grafic\u00f3, para ilustrar la magnitud de la disputa. En ese contexto, apunt\u00f3, la nueva batalla tecnol\u00f3gica se libra en dos frentes: los chips m\u00e1s avanzados y la energ\u00eda necesaria para alimentar la inteligencia artificial. Y la Argentina, dijo, tiene lo que el mundo necesita en ambos frentes.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"por-que-la-tasa-de-inversion-sigue-baja\">Por qu\u00e9 la tasa de inversi\u00f3n sigue baja<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"10\">Ante la pregunta de por qu\u00e9 <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/economia\/2026\/11\/03\/mariana-camino-ceo-de-abeceb-advirtio-sobre-el-riesgo-de-esperar-para-invertir-puede-ser-caro-para-una-empresa\">la tasa de inversi\u00f3n en la Argentina sigue en torno al 15% del producto<\/a> \u2014muy por debajo de los est\u00e1ndares regionales\u2014, Daza apel\u00f3 a la teor\u00eda de opciones reales, una rama de la intersecci\u00f3n entre econom\u00eda y finanzas. Su diagn\u00f3stico: <b>el principal freno es la incertidumbre sobre la estabilidad de las reglas de juego<\/b>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_3 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_3\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"11\">\u201cNo hay en el mundo un pa\u00eds que pas\u00f3 m\u00e1s tiempo en recesi\u00f3n en los \u00faltimos setenta y cinco a\u00f1os que la Argentina, el n\u00famero uno de 180 pa\u00edses\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3. Esa historia de volatilidad y crisis recurrentes, dijo, es la que explica que los inversores sigan exigiendo una prima de riesgo elevada antes de comprometer capital de largo plazo en el pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"12\">A cierre de su intervenci\u00f3n, Daza sostuvo que la elecci\u00f3n de <b>Javier Milei<\/b> represent\u00f3 un punto de inflexi\u00f3n que va m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del ciclo pol\u00edtico. \u201cPara m\u00ed la Argentina cambi\u00f3. Y cambi\u00f3 para siempre\u201d, afirm\u00f3. El argumento central: por primera vez existe en la Argentina un consenso transversal \u2014\u201cdesde el peronismo hasta los sectores de derecha\u201d\u2014<b> sobre la necesidad de reducir el peso del Estado y mantener el equilibrio fiscal.<\/b><\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_4 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_4\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"13\">Para ilustrar por qu\u00e9 ese consenso puede ser duradero, recurri\u00f3 al caso chileno, pa\u00eds donde residi\u00f3 por muchos a\u00f1os dado que su padre fue diplom\u00e1tico en el pa\u00eds vecino. Record\u00f3, entonces, que cuando <b>Pinochet<\/b> perdi\u00f3 el plebiscito de 1988, la bolsa cay\u00f3 58% en un d\u00eda por el temor a que la Concertaci\u00f3n revertiera las reformas. No lo hizo: las profundiz\u00f3. <b>\u201cChile entr\u00f3 a un per\u00edodo entre el 85 y la crisis asi\u00e1tica que creci\u00f3 al 7,1% por a\u00f1o, todos los a\u00f1os\u201d<\/b>, record\u00f3. La analog\u00eda impl\u00edcita fue clara: si las condiciones se mantienen, la Argentina podr\u00eda transitar un proceso similar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EscucharPuntos claveResumen 05 Nov, 2026 12:28 p. m. EST Guardar El viceministro de Econom\u00eda, Jos\u00e9 Luis Daza, admiti\u00f3 que el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de la Argentina qued\u00f3 por debajo de lo que el Gobierno esperaba, aunque rechaz\u00f3 encuadrar la situaci\u00f3n actual como una recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica y pidi\u00f3 mirar \u201cel big picture\u201d (foto completa). El n\u00famero 2 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33359,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33358","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33358","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33358"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33358\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/33359"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33358"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33358"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33358"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}