{"id":31212,"date":"2026-10-20T09:21:42","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T12:21:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=31212"},"modified":"2026-10-20T09:21:42","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T12:21:42","slug":"el-superavit-comercial-de-2026-podria-superar-los-usd-26-000-millones-y-duplicar-el-resultado-de-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=31212","title":{"rendered":"El super\u00e1vit comercial de 2026 podr\u00eda superar los USD 26.000 millones y duplicar el resultado de 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ai-tools\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-listen\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14.99 9.22417C14.89 8.65466 14.5799 8.25501 14.0497 8.0352C14.0096 8.01522 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fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M5.08646 8.4948C5.04645 8.18507 4.74634 7.98525 4.45623 8.06518C4.21615 8.13512 4.0761 8.32495 4.0761 8.60471C4.0761 9.40401 4.0761 10.2133 4.0761 11.0126C4.0761 11.8119 4.0761 12.6312 4.0761 13.4505C4.0761 13.8401 4.44623 14.0899 4.78635 13.9401C5.03644 13.8301 5.10647 13.6203 5.10647 13.3606C5.10647 11.8019 5.10647 10.2333 5.10647 8.67464C5.10647 8.6147 5.10647 8.55475 5.09646 8.4948H5.08646Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M11.2587 8.08516C11.0386 8.16509 10.9185 8.36492 10.9185 8.66465C10.9185 10.2333 10.9185 11.8119 10.9185 13.3805C10.9185 13.4405 10.9185 13.4904 10.9285 13.5504C10.9586 13.7902 11.1686 13.98 11.4087 13.99C11.7188 14 11.9489 13.7802 11.9489 13.4405C11.9489 12.6412 11.9489 11.8319 11.9489 11.0326V10.1933C11.9489 9.65379 11.9489 9.10427 11.9489 8.56474C11.9489 8.19506 11.5888 7.95527 11.2587 8.08516Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"ai-tools-label\">Escuchar<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-keypoints\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5.99679 1H12.4609C13.0887 1 13.6 1.52731 13.6 2.17489V13.8251C13.6 14.4727 13.0887 15 12.4609 15H3.53913C2.91126 15 2.39999 14.4727 2.39999 13.8251V9.19802V4.57092L5.99679 1Z\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M2.39999 5.38502H6.94416V3.94555V1\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 12.2L5.50657 12.2C5.32834 12.2 5.2037 11.8667 5.20008 11.517C5.19587 11.1484 5.32111 10.8 5.50657 10.8L10.4813 10.8C10.6632 10.8 10.795 11.105 10.7998 11.4804C10.8047 11.8341 10.6842 12.2 10.491 12.2Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 9.4L5.50657 9.4C5.32834 9.4 5.2037 9.0666 5.20008 8.71694C5.19587 8.34831 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srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/R6SJU3OWVBDU3FJMWF3KTLWZAM.JPG?auth=689dd6c02f306fec5fcbbbadaf4b7d5f2027c9d676a27ca733052dd2d5c2e108&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=663&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/R6SJU3OWVBDU3FJMWF3KTLWZAM.JPG?auth=689dd6c02f306fec5fcbbbadaf4b7d5f2027c9d676a27ca733052dd2d5c2e108&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=513&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/R6SJU3OWVBDU3FJMWF3KTLWZAM.JPG?auth=689dd6c02f306fec5fcbbbadaf4b7d5f2027c9d676a27ca733052dd2d5c2e108&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=386&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/R6SJU3OWVBDU3FJMWF3KTLWZAM.JPG?auth=689dd6c02f306fec5fcbbbadaf4b7d5f2027c9d676a27ca733052dd2d5c2e108&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=281&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/R6SJU3OWVBDU3FJMWF3KTLWZAM.JPG?auth=689dd6c02f306fec5fcbbbadaf4b7d5f2027c9d676a27ca733052dd2d5c2e108&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=234&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Las ventas al exterior totalizaron USD 10.036 millones, un m\u00e1ximo mensual para la serie hist\u00f3rica. REUTERS\/Enrique Marcarian\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"3204\" loading=\"eager\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/R6SJU3OWVBDU3FJMWF3KTLWZAM.JPG?auth=689dd6c02f306fec5fcbbbadaf4b7d5f2027c9d676a27ca733052dd2d5c2e108&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=234&amp;quality=85\" width=\"4794\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-container display_flex sharebar-new\" style=\"opacity:1\">\n<div class=\"share-bar-article-date-container \"><span class=\"sharebar-article-date\">20 Oct, 2026 07:47 a. m. EST<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-container display_flex\">\n<div aria-label=\"Guardar\" class=\"sharebar-buttons button-save\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg width=\"9\" height=\"12\" viewbox=\"0 0 8 10\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"saved-icon saved\"><path d=\"M6.64286 0.5V9.31687L4.1116 7.16407L4.11106 7.16361C3.79894 6.89891 3.34392 6.89891 3.03179 7.16361L3.03126 7.16407L0.5 9.31687V0.5H6.64286Z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"buttons-save-text\">Guardar<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-separator\"><\/div>\n<p><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Telegram\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M24.9696 12.5511L10.3405 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18.9315H20.2236V27H17.3629L17.3544 26.9921Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Whatsapp\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M21.2863 19.9439C21.0997 19.8551 20.9664 19.9262 20.8419 20.0861C20.6731 20.3261 20.4687 20.5483 20.2909 20.7794C20.1665 20.9393 20.0243 20.9749 19.8376 20.8949C18.6645 20.4239 17.7757 19.6506 17.1269 18.5841C17.0292 18.4242 17.038 18.2997 17.1536 18.1575C17.3225 17.9531 17.4824 17.7576 17.6157 17.5354C17.678 17.4287 17.7135 17.2599 17.678 17.1532C17.4735 16.6111 17.2425 16.0867 17.0114 15.5535C16.9669 15.4557 16.8781 15.3313 16.7892 15.3224C16.4248 15.2602 16.0426 15.1891 15.7316 15.4912C15.1094 16.0778 14.8784 16.7977 15.0383 17.6243C15.1805 18.3619 15.5983 18.9663 16.0426 19.5618C16.887 20.6638 17.8646 21.6237 19.1622 22.1925C19.7932 22.4769 20.4331 22.7613 21.1441 22.7613C21.2685 22.7613 21.393 22.7613 21.5085 22.7346C22.4506 22.5391 23.1172 22.0058 23.0816 21.0193C23.0816 20.9216 23.0194 20.7794 22.9483 20.7438C22.3973 20.4594 21.8462 20.2017 21.2863 19.9439Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><path d=\"M26.9482 17.8724C26.3972 13.4642 22.1401 10.3447 17.7229 11.1179C12.6481 11.9977 9.71521 17.2859 11.6883 21.9963C12.1948 22.6629 12.0615 23.3472 11.8216 24.0849C11.5105 25.027 11.2794 26.0046 11.0039 27C11.1194 26.9733 11.1994 26.9644 11.2794 26.9378C12.5059 26.6178 13.7324 26.3068 14.9411 25.9868C15.1544 25.9335 15.3144 25.9602 15.5099 26.0579C17.1719 26.8667 18.9227 27.0978 20.718 26.7067C24.833 25.7913 27.4548 22.0496 26.9305 17.8902L26.9482 17.8724ZM20.0515 25.4624C18.4784 25.7113 17.003 25.3913 15.6166 24.6003C15.5099 24.5381 15.3411 24.5115 15.2077 24.547C14.4612 24.7248 13.7146 24.9292 12.9147 25.1336C13.1192 24.3693 13.3058 23.6672 13.5102 22.9473C13.5635 22.7606 13.5369 22.6273 13.4391 22.4673C11.0039 18.5479 13.1014 13.5442 17.6163 12.5043C21.2868 11.6511 25.0285 14.1841 25.5884 17.908C26.1395 21.5519 23.6954 24.8936 20.0515 25.4624Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"1\">La Argentina registr\u00f3 en septiembre un <b>super\u00e1vit comercial de USD 2.976 millones<\/b>, m\u00e1s del triple del resultado obtenido en el mismo mes de 2025, cuando hab\u00eda alcanzado los USD 937 millones. De esta manera, la balanza de bienes acumul\u00f3 <b>34 meses consecutivos con saldo positivo<\/b> y cerr\u00f3 los primeros nueve meses de 2026 con un excedente de <b>USD 21.198 millones<\/b>, frente a los USD 6.046 millones del mismo per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o pasado.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-1\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"2\">Seg\u00fan un informe de la consultora ABECEB, el resultado acumulado ya supera en casi un <b>90% el super\u00e1vit de todo 2025<\/b>, que fue de USD 11.320 millones. Con este punto de partida y las perspectivas favorables para el \u00faltimo trimestre, estima que el saldo comercial de este a\u00f1o podr\u00eda <b>superar los USD 26.000 millones<\/b>, m\u00e1s del doble del registrado durante el a\u00f1o pasado.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"3\">El desempe\u00f1o de septiembre estuvo marcado por un <b>r\u00e9cord de exportaciones<\/b> y una nueva contracci\u00f3n de las importaciones. Las ventas al exterior totalizaron <b>USD 10.036 millones<\/b>, un m\u00e1ximo mensual para la serie hist\u00f3rica, con un crecimiento interanual del <b>23,5%<\/b>. <\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-3\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5PKNKSE3GRHURDZOMHFXJJETZE.png?auth=8ee19ac40bf6a368bf20cf194b187972c076bfdc26f96d75eb4cb44175ca7014&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=541&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5PKNKSE3GRHURDZOMHFXJJETZE.png?auth=8ee19ac40bf6a368bf20cf194b187972c076bfdc26f96d75eb4cb44175ca7014&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=419&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5PKNKSE3GRHURDZOMHFXJJETZE.png?auth=8ee19ac40bf6a368bf20cf194b187972c076bfdc26f96d75eb4cb44175ca7014&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=315&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5PKNKSE3GRHURDZOMHFXJJETZE.png?auth=8ee19ac40bf6a368bf20cf194b187972c076bfdc26f96d75eb4cb44175ca7014&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=229&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5PKNKSE3GRHURDZOMHFXJJETZE.png?auth=8ee19ac40bf6a368bf20cf194b187972c076bfdc26f96d75eb4cb44175ca7014&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=191&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Un puerto con un buque de carga, contenedores, gr\u00faas, camiones con tuber\u00edas y palas de aerogenerador, maquinaria pesada, y f\u00e1bricas con chimeneas.\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"768\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5PKNKSE3GRHURDZOMHFXJJETZE.png?auth=8ee19ac40bf6a368bf20cf194b187972c076bfdc26f96d75eb4cb44175ca7014&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=191&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1408\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"4\">En paralelo, las compras externas sumaron USD 7.060 millones, con una ca\u00edda del <b>1,8%<\/b> respecto de septiembre de 2025.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"la-energia-principal-motor-de-las-exportaciones\">La energ\u00eda, principal motor de las exportaciones<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"5\">El sector de <b>Combustibles y Energ\u00eda<\/b> volvi\u00f3 a ser el principal impulsor de las ventas externas y de la mejora del saldo comercial. En septiembre, las exportaciones del rubro alcanzaron los <b>USD 1.781 millones<\/b>, un aumento interanual del <b>89,1%<\/b>, explicado tanto por mayores cantidades despachadas como por mejores precios.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-5\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"inline_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"6\">Dentro del sector, el petr\u00f3leo crudo se destac\u00f3 con ventas por <b>USD 1.127 millones<\/b>, un <b>86,4%<\/b> m\u00e1s que un a\u00f1o atr\u00e1s. El incremento fue de USD 522 millones y convirti\u00f3 al producto en el <b>principal bien exportado por Argentina durante el mes<\/b>, con una participaci\u00f3n del <b>11,2%<\/b> del total.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"7\">El informe vincul\u00f3 este desempe\u00f1o con el crecimiento de la producci\u00f3n de <b>Vaca Muerta<\/b>. En agosto, la extracci\u00f3n nacional de crudo alcanz\u00f3 un r\u00e9cord de <b>936.800 barriles diarios<\/b>, un 14% por encima del nivel de un a\u00f1o antes. La formaci\u00f3n neuquina aport\u00f3 cerca del <b>72% de la producci\u00f3n total<\/b>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_1 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_1\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"8\">A este factor se sum\u00f3 la suba de los precios internacionales del petr\u00f3leo. El Brent comenz\u00f3 septiembre levemente por encima de los USD 90 por barril y cerr\u00f3 el mes en <b>USD 103,5<\/b>, con un incremento mensual cercano al <b>14%<\/b>, en un contexto de tensiones en Medio Oriente y disrupciones en el estrecho de Ormuz.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"9\">De acuerdo con ABECEB, el rubro energ\u00e9tico aport\u00f3 unos <b>USD 840 millones adicionales<\/b> a las exportaciones de septiembre, lo que explic\u00f3 el <b>44% del aumento total<\/b> de las ventas externas y alrededor del <b>41% de la mejora interanual<\/b> del saldo comercial. Adem\u00e1s, Combustibles y Energ\u00eda ya representa el <b>16,1% de las exportaciones acumuladas<\/b> del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"el-aporte-del-agro-y-la-mineria\">El aporte del agro y la miner\u00eda<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"10\">El desempe\u00f1o del sector energ\u00e9tico estuvo acompa\u00f1ado por el crecimiento de otros complejos exportadores. Entre las manufacturas de origen agropecuario, las ventas aumentaron un <b>16,8% interanual<\/b> en septiembre, con un impulso concentrado principalmente en los derivados de la soja.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"11\">La harina y los pellets de soja registraron exportaciones por <b>USD 1.006 millones<\/b>, un <b>26,2%<\/b> m\u00e1s que en septiembre de 2025. El aceite de soja en bruto, en tanto, avanz\u00f3 un 6,1%, hasta los USD 597 millones.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"12\">Tambi\u00e9n se destac\u00f3 la carne bovina congelada deshuesada, cuyas ventas alcanzaron los <b>USD 290 millones<\/b>, con una suba interanual del <b>21,3%<\/b>. Entre enero y agosto, los env\u00edos de carne vacuna hab\u00edan generado USD 3.291 millones, un <b>39,8%<\/b> m\u00e1s que en igual per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o anterior.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_3 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_3\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UDPXN2X2CBBGZGY76LFRKAL4M4.jpg?auth=1701c866619b973350be9f04cf7e2e1a58173bbfe72743a0493e18d94eb4b9c8&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UDPXN2X2CBBGZGY76LFRKAL4M4.jpg?auth=1701c866619b973350be9f04cf7e2e1a58173bbfe72743a0493e18d94eb4b9c8&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UDPXN2X2CBBGZGY76LFRKAL4M4.jpg?auth=1701c866619b973350be9f04cf7e2e1a58173bbfe72743a0493e18d94eb4b9c8&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UDPXN2X2CBBGZGY76LFRKAL4M4.jpg?auth=1701c866619b973350be9f04cf7e2e1a58173bbfe72743a0493e18d94eb4b9c8&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UDPXN2X2CBBGZGY76LFRKAL4M4.jpg?auth=1701c866619b973350be9f04cf7e2e1a58173bbfe72743a0493e18d94eb4b9c8&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Entre las manufacturas de origen agropecuario, las ventas aumentaron un 16,8% interanual en septiembre. EFE\/ Ministerio De Agricultura\/Archivo\n\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"2731\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UDPXN2X2CBBGZGY76LFRKAL4M4.jpg?auth=1701c866619b973350be9f04cf7e2e1a58173bbfe72743a0493e18d94eb4b9c8&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"4096\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"13\">En los productos primarios, el crecimiento de los cereales compens\u00f3 la ca\u00edda de las oleaginosas. Las exportaciones de cereales aumentaron un <b>98,7% interanual<\/b>, con el ma\u00edz en grano como uno de los principales protagonistas: las ventas llegaron a <b>USD 833 millones<\/b>, un <b>129,2%<\/b> m\u00e1s que un a\u00f1o antes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"14\">La miner\u00eda tambi\u00e9n aport\u00f3 al desempe\u00f1o exportador, especialmente a trav\u00e9s del litio y el oro. Los carbonatos de litio sumaron unos <b>USD 103 millones adicionales<\/b> respecto de septiembre de 2025, mientras que el oro registr\u00f3 un incremento de USD 28 millones. El sector minero export\u00f3 <b>USD 6.059 millones hasta agosto<\/b>, un crecimiento interanual del <b>65,7%<\/b>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_4 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_4\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"las-importaciones-siguen-condicionadas-por-la-actividad\">Las importaciones siguen condicionadas por la actividad<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"15\">Del lado de las importaciones, la baja interanual de septiembre respondi\u00f3 principalmente a una contracci\u00f3n de las cantidades compradas, que retrocedieron un <b>11,2%<\/b>, pese a que los precios aumentaron un 10,4%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"16\">La evoluci\u00f3n de los bienes vinculados con la inversi\u00f3n reflej\u00f3 la debilidad que todav\u00eda atraviesa la actividad industrial. Las importaciones de bienes de capital disminuyeron un <b>10,4% interanual<\/b>, mientras que las piezas y accesorios para esos bienes cayeron un 3,5%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"17\">En la misma l\u00ednea, las compras externas de bienes de consumo retrocedieron un 2,5%, hasta los USD 1.129 millones. La ca\u00edda se concentr\u00f3 en las cantidades importadas de art\u00edculos semiduraderos, como indumentaria, calzado y textiles, que registraron una contracci\u00f3n del <b>19,2%<\/b>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_5 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_5\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"18\">Tambi\u00e9n se redujeron las importaciones de veh\u00edculos automotores de pasajeros, con una baja interanual del <b>27,2%<\/b>. En el sector automotor en su conjunto, las compras externas disminuyeron un <b>19,8%<\/b>, hasta los USD 1.360 millones.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"19\">Para ABECEB, la debilidad de la industria y de la inversi\u00f3n mantiene contenidas las compras de bienes de capital y sus componentes, mientras que el consumo privado reci\u00e9n comienza a mostrar se\u00f1ales de recuperaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"20\">Por eso, la mejora del saldo comercial se apoya tanto en el <b>crecimiento de las exportaciones, con la energ\u00eda como protagonista<\/b>, como en la moderaci\u00f3n de las importaciones.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/4ULYCYEHDRHBTBQH6TZESFVKLM.png?auth=713d458abd07b15987e22476d100dabc1a18971f061bfe1340982bb96aed8541&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=554&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/4ULYCYEHDRHBTBQH6TZESFVKLM.png?auth=713d458abd07b15987e22476d100dabc1a18971f061bfe1340982bb96aed8541&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=429&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/4ULYCYEHDRHBTBQH6TZESFVKLM.png?auth=713d458abd07b15987e22476d100dabc1a18971f061bfe1340982bb96aed8541&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=322&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/4ULYCYEHDRHBTBQH6TZESFVKLM.png?auth=713d458abd07b15987e22476d100dabc1a18971f061bfe1340982bb96aed8541&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=234&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/4ULYCYEHDRHBTBQH6TZESFVKLM.png?auth=713d458abd07b15987e22476d100dabc1a18971f061bfe1340982bb96aed8541&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=195&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Una vista de \u00e1ngulo bajo de enormes pilas de contenedores de env\u00edo multicolores, como rojo, azul, verde y amarillo, bajo un cielo parcialmente nublado.\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1536\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/4ULYCYEHDRHBTBQH6TZESFVKLM.png?auth=713d458abd07b15987e22476d100dabc1a18971f061bfe1340982bb96aed8541&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=195&amp;quality=85\" width=\"2752\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"que-se-espera-para-el-cierre-de-2026\">Qu\u00e9 se espera para el cierre de 2026<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"21\">Las perspectivas para el \u00faltimo trimestre mantienen un sesgo favorable para el comercio exterior. Del lado de las exportaciones, la consultora prev\u00e9 que la energ\u00eda contin\u00fae como un motor estructural, acompa\u00f1ada por los vol\u00famenes r\u00e9cord de embarques agropecuarios y el aporte de la miner\u00eda, en particular del oro, la plata y el litio.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_6 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_6\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"22\">Los precios internacionales del petr\u00f3leo tambi\u00e9n podr\u00edan contribuir al resultado, en funci\u00f3n de las tensiones geopol\u00edticas en Medio Oriente.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"23\">En cambio, la evoluci\u00f3n de las importaciones depender\u00e1 en mayor medida de la recuperaci\u00f3n de la actividad econ\u00f3mica: una mejora m\u00e1s firme podr\u00eda reactivar parcialmente las compras de bienes de capital y piezas industriales.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"24\">Con el super\u00e1vit acumulado por encima de los <b>USD 21.000 millones hasta septiembre<\/b>, ABECEB proyecta que el saldo comercial de 2026 podr\u00eda <b>superar los USD 26.000 millones<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"25\">Por su parte, la consultora LCG afirm\u00f3: \u201cCon solo tres meses por delante, proyectamos que las exportaciones rondar\u00e1n en 2026 los <b>USD 104.000 millones<\/b>, con un crecimiento aproximado de 20% interanual\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"26\">\u201cEn cuanto a las importaciones, esperamos que se mantengan en l\u00ednea con los niveles recientes, con un valor sostenido por la suba de precios, pero cantidades que contin\u00faan deprimidas. Proyectamos una ca\u00edda de 2,5% en 2026\u2033, a\u00f1adi\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"27\">En tanto, para 2027, ABECEB proyect\u00f3: \u201cSe espera un panorama semejante, con pujanza en las cantidades exportadas y precios en retracci\u00f3n llevando a una t\u00f3nica menos espectacular, pero de alta calidad, en exportaciones. Las importaciones comenzar\u00edan a crecer m\u00e1s sostenidamente de la mano de una actividad m\u00e1s firme, y una industria en recuperaci\u00f3n respecto a los dos a\u00f1os previos; el super\u00e1vit estar\u00eda en l\u00ednea con el de 2026\u2033.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EscucharPuntos claveResumen 20 Oct, 2026 07:47 a. m. EST Guardar La Argentina registr\u00f3 en septiembre un super\u00e1vit comercial de USD 2.976 millones, m\u00e1s del triple del resultado obtenido en el mismo mes de 2025, cuando hab\u00eda alcanzado los USD 937 millones. De esta manera, la balanza de bienes acumul\u00f3 34 meses consecutivos con saldo positivo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31212"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31212\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/22989"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}