{"id":29085,"date":"2026-10-03T21:02:54","date_gmt":"2026-10-04T00:02:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=29085"},"modified":"2026-10-03T21:02:54","modified_gmt":"2026-10-04T00:02:54","slug":"gracias-a-vaca-muerta-entre-2031-y-2032-neuquen-superaria-a-buenos-aires-para-ser-la-principal-provincia-exportadora-de-la-argentina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=29085","title":{"rendered":"Gracias a  Vaca Muerta: entre 2031 y 2032 Neuqu\u00e9n superar\u00eda a Buenos Aires, para ser la principal provincia exportadora de la Argentina"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ai-tools\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-listen\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14.99 9.22417C14.89 8.65466 14.5799 8.25501 14.0497 8.0352C14.0096 8.01522 13.9696 7.94528 13.9696 7.90532C13.9196 6.81627 13.6395 5.79716 13.0493 4.86797C12.0589 3.28934 10.6484 2.3102 8.80779 2.06042C6.8771 1.80064 5.1965 2.38014 3.81601 3.76893C2.69561 4.89794 2.10539 6.28673 2.04537 7.89533C2.04537 7.97526 2.01536 8.00523 1.94534 8.0352C1.35513 8.29498 1.03501 8.77456 1.01501 9.42399C0.994998 10.4731 0.994998 11.5222 1.01501 12.5712C1.02501 13.2507 1.53519 13.8701 2.19543 13.96C2.64559 14.02 3.10575 13.97 3.58592 13.97V13.8102C3.58592 11.9818 3.58592 10.1434 3.58592 8.31496C3.58592 7.93529 3.61593 7.54563 3.69596 7.16596C3.88603 6.2068 4.34619 5.38751 5.06645 4.73808C6.21686 3.69899 7.55734 3.34929 9.05788 3.71897C10.2483 4.00872 11.1486 4.7181 11.7889 5.78716C12.259 6.56648 12.4291 7.42573 12.4291 8.32495C12.4291 10.1534 12.4291 11.9918 12.4291 13.8301V14C12.8492 14 13.2494 14 13.6495 14C14.0497 13.99 14.3698 13.8002 14.6299 13.5004C14.8299 13.2706 14.93 12.9909 15 12.6911V9.29411C15 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class=\"ai-tools-label\">Escuchar<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-keypoints\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5.99679 1H12.4609C13.0887 1 13.6 1.52731 13.6 2.17489V13.8251C13.6 14.4727 13.0887 15 12.4609 15H3.53913C2.91126 15 2.39999 14.4727 2.39999 13.8251V9.19802V4.57092L5.99679 1Z\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M2.39999 5.38502H6.94416V3.94555V1\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 12.2L5.50657 12.2C5.32834 12.2 5.2037 11.8667 5.20008 11.517C5.19587 11.1484 5.32111 10.8 5.50657 10.8L10.4813 10.8C10.6632 10.8 10.795 11.105 10.7998 11.4804C10.8047 11.8341 10.6842 12.2 10.491 12.2Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 9.4L5.50657 9.4C5.32834 9.4 5.2037 9.0666 5.20008 8.71694C5.19587 8.34831 5.32111 8 5.50657 8L10.4813 8C10.6632 8 10.795 8.30494 10.7998 8.68035C10.8047 9.03408 10.6842 9.4 10.491 9.4Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"ai-tools-label\">Puntos clave<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-summary\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M10.1798 2.50989H2.00488C1.45082 2.50989 0.999667 2.97515 0.999667 3.54653V13.8259C0.999667 14.3973 1.45082 14.8626 2.00488 14.8626H9.87772C10.4318 14.8626 10.8829 14.3973 10.8829 13.8259V9.74329V8.13118\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.1892 0.937134C10.6648 0.938475 11.1562 1.16366 11.4167 1.62561C11.55 1.86167 11.6275 2.09395 11.6863 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srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/O575ZYIXPJGUPPPYEOEXYFYMKI.jpg?auth=1573bbb6ca607fee54180bf48a56555d82f9a395efb9065a68d15cadfbf22689&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/O575ZYIXPJGUPPPYEOEXYFYMKI.jpg?auth=1573bbb6ca607fee54180bf48a56555d82f9a395efb9065a68d15cadfbf22689&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/O575ZYIXPJGUPPPYEOEXYFYMKI.jpg?auth=1573bbb6ca607fee54180bf48a56555d82f9a395efb9065a68d15cadfbf22689&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/O575ZYIXPJGUPPPYEOEXYFYMKI.jpg?auth=1573bbb6ca607fee54180bf48a56555d82f9a395efb9065a68d15cadfbf22689&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" 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EST<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-container display_flex\">\n<div aria-label=\"Guardar\" class=\"sharebar-buttons button-save\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg width=\"9\" height=\"12\" viewbox=\"0 0 8 10\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"saved-icon saved\"><path d=\"M6.64286 0.5V9.31687L4.1116 7.16407L4.11106 7.16361C3.79894 6.89891 3.34392 6.89891 3.03179 7.16361L3.03126 7.16407L0.5 9.31687V0.5H6.64286Z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"buttons-save-text\">Guardar<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-separator\"><\/div>\n<p><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Telegram\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M24.9696 12.5511L10.3405 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15.0383 17.6243C15.1805 18.3619 15.5983 18.9663 16.0426 19.5618C16.887 20.6638 17.8646 21.6237 19.1622 22.1925C19.7932 22.4769 20.4331 22.7613 21.1441 22.7613C21.2685 22.7613 21.393 22.7613 21.5085 22.7346C22.4506 22.5391 23.1172 22.0058 23.0816 21.0193C23.0816 20.9216 23.0194 20.7794 22.9483 20.7438C22.3973 20.4594 21.8462 20.2017 21.2863 19.9439Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><path d=\"M26.9482 17.8724C26.3972 13.4642 22.1401 10.3447 17.7229 11.1179C12.6481 11.9977 9.71521 17.2859 11.6883 21.9963C12.1948 22.6629 12.0615 23.3472 11.8216 24.0849C11.5105 25.027 11.2794 26.0046 11.0039 27C11.1194 26.9733 11.1994 26.9644 11.2794 26.9378C12.5059 26.6178 13.7324 26.3068 14.9411 25.9868C15.1544 25.9335 15.3144 25.9602 15.5099 26.0579C17.1719 26.8667 18.9227 27.0978 20.718 26.7067C24.833 25.7913 27.4548 22.0496 26.9305 17.8902L26.9482 17.8724ZM20.0515 25.4624C18.4784 25.7113 17.003 25.3913 15.6166 24.6003C15.5099 24.5381 15.3411 24.5115 15.2077 24.547C14.4612 24.7248 13.7146 24.9292 12.9147 25.1336C13.1192 24.3693 13.3058 23.6672 13.5102 22.9473C13.5635 22.7606 13.5369 22.6273 13.4391 22.4673C11.0039 18.5479 13.1014 13.5442 17.6163 12.5043C21.2868 11.6511 25.0285 14.1841 25.5884 17.908C26.1395 21.5519 23.6954 24.8936 20.0515 25.4624Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"1\">La regi\u00f3n pampeana fue durante gran parte de la historia argentina la principal regi\u00f3n exportadora del pa\u00eds. De hecho, lo sigue siendo. El actual ranking de provincias exportadoras lo encabeza Buenos Aires, seguida por C\u00f3rdoba y Santa Fe, gracias al peso del agro, la agroindustria y algunas ramas de la industria manufacturera. <\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-1\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"2\">Pero ya en el cuarto lugar aparece Neuqu\u00e9n, que apenas cinco a\u00f1os atr\u00e1s, en 2021, no figuraba siquiera entre las primeras diez provincias exportadoras de la Argentina, precisa un informe del Ieral de la Fundaci\u00f3n Mediterr\u00e1nea. <\/p>\n<div class=\"inline ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"3\">El autor, <b>Federico Belich<\/b>, responsable de la Regional Comahue, proyect\u00f3 en base a escenarios de volumen de producci\u00f3n y de precios hidrocarbur\u00edferos, en particular del petr\u00f3leo, c\u00f3mo el desarrollo de Vaca Muerta, una formaci\u00f3n de recursos de petr\u00f3leo y gas \u201cno convencionales\u201d con epicentro en Neuqu\u00e9n pero que tambi\u00e9n abarca partes de Mendoza, R\u00edo Negro y La Pampa, seguir\u00e1 modificando el ranking de las provincias argentinas que m\u00e1s exportan, tomando como referencia el origen provincial de la exportaci\u00f3n, no el puerto de salida. <\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-3\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"4\">Seg\u00fan las proyecciones, Neuqu\u00e9n superar\u00eda en valor exportado a C\u00f3rdoba el a\u00f1o pr\u00f3ximo, a Santa Fe en 2028 y a Buenos Aires entre 2031 y 2032, gracias al aumento de la producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo no convencional, la ampliaci\u00f3n de la infraestructura de transporte y la futura exportaci\u00f3n de gas natural licuado (GNL).<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/inline_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"5\">Durante las \u00faltimas dos d\u00e9cadas el 74% de las exportaciones argentinas se concentr\u00f3 en Buenos Aires, Santa Fe y C\u00f3rdoba, sostenidas por el campo, la agroindustria, la industria automotriz, los complejos aceiteros y las manufacturas. <\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-5\"><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"el-explosivo-crecimiento-de-anelo\">El explosivo crecimiento de A\u00f1elo<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"6\">El crecimiento de los hidrocarburos no convencionales empez\u00f3 a alterar esa estructura y Vaca Muerta emergi\u00f3 como un potent\u00edsimo motor de generaci\u00f3n de divisas y ya compite con las actividades tradicionales.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ.jpg?auth=ea4fd3aa69119d80063489972442e531899f0cc2e0f8b01aeb33f5e785f34e7b&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ.jpg?auth=ea4fd3aa69119d80063489972442e531899f0cc2e0f8b01aeb33f5e785f34e7b&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ.jpg?auth=ea4fd3aa69119d80063489972442e531899f0cc2e0f8b01aeb33f5e785f34e7b&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ.jpg?auth=ea4fd3aa69119d80063489972442e531899f0cc2e0f8b01aeb33f5e785f34e7b&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ.jpg?auth=ea4fd3aa69119d80063489972442e531899f0cc2e0f8b01aeb33f5e785f34e7b&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Imagen M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"563\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/M3IUR2B3LVCUHPWFH4UA5CEUTQ.jpg?auth=ea4fd3aa69119d80063489972442e531899f0cc2e0f8b01aeb33f5e785f34e7b&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1000\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"7\">El fen\u00f3meno implic\u00f3 y sigue implicando una transformaci\u00f3n acelerada: <b>Milton Morales<\/b>, actual delegado regional del gobierno neuquino para Vaca Muerta y exintendente de A\u00f1elo, precis\u00f3 el jueves en un evento sobre \u201cc\u00f3mo gestionar un territorio en auge\u201d en la Escuela de Gobierno de la Universidad Torcuato di Tella, que esa localidad neuquina pas\u00f3 en pocos a\u00f1os de 1.500 a 15.000 habitantes, a ella ingresan 25.000 personas por semana y tiene 8.000 \u201dcamas calientes&#8221;, aquellas sucesivamente ocupadas por trabajadores del sector petrolera o conexos que trabajan en turnos o <i>rosters y <\/i>se van reemplazando entre s\u00ed. <\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_1 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_1\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"el-podio-actual\">El podio actual<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"8\">En 2025, Buenos Aires encabez\u00f3 el ranking exportador con USD 31.684 millones, seguida por Santa Fe, con USD 16.190 millones, y C\u00f3rdoba, con USD 10.913 millones. Neuqu\u00e9n a\u00fan se encontraba detr\u00e1s de esas provincias, pero ya mostraba una expansi\u00f3n fenomenal: entre 2021 y 2025 sus exportaciones se multiplicaron casi por siete, lo que le permiti\u00f3 pasar del puesto 14 en 2021 al cuarto lugar en 2022, un avance de diez posiciones en un solo a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"9\">La distancia con C\u00f3rdoba se redujo a unos US$3.300 millones durante los \u00faltimos doce meses que consider\u00f3 el informe, bajo cuyo \u201cescenario base\u201d, Neuqu\u00e9n superar\u00eda a la provincia mediterr\u00e1nea en 2027 y a Santa Fe en 2028 con ventas externas estimadas para entonces en USD 18.400 millones.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"10\">El salto de Neuqu\u00e9n redefini\u00f3 adem\u00e1s el mapa de la Patagonia. Durante a\u00f1os, Chubut lider\u00f3 las exportaciones de la regi\u00f3n, apoyada en la producci\u00f3n petrolera convencional del Golfo San Jorge, el aluminio y la pesca. Ahora, Neuqu\u00e9n ocupa el primer lugar de la regi\u00f3n, seguida por Santa Cruz y Chubut. Las exportaciones de la Patagonia en conjunto pasaron de cerca de USD 7.400 millones en 2021 a m\u00e1s de USD 13.000 millones en 2025. Dentro de la regi\u00f3n, la participaci\u00f3n neuquina creci\u00f3 del 13 al 50% (esto es, de casi uno de cada ocho, a uno de cada dos d\u00f3lares).<\/p>\n<div id=\"fusion-static-enter:raw_html_raw_html14\" style=\"display:none\" data-fusion-component=\"raw_html_raw_html14\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"rawHTML raw_html \"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/\/resizer\/v2\/B7AUJ4A4A5HMPMBNIQAOYHH7II.jpg?auth=9c491d9a34ed1a1027cfd69e0eabf0389d308af73ee146cd51580071326b5df4\" alt=\"infografia\" class=\"responsive\"><\/p>\n<style>.responsive {width: 100%; height: auto;}<\/style>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"fusion-static-exit:raw_html_raw_html14\" style=\"display:none\" data-fusion-component=\"raw_html_raw_html14\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"11\">El informe sostiene que esta expansi\u00f3n no depende solo de expectativas, sino de proyectos de infraestructura concretos. Dos obras ya cuentan con financiamiento y contratos, mientras que una tercera, de mayor escala, avanza hacia una decisi\u00f3n final de inversi\u00f3n. Entre los elementos centrales se encuentran las ampliaciones en la capacidad de evacuaci\u00f3n del crudo mediante los sistemas de Oldelval, Otasa y el oleoducto Vaca Muerta Sur (VMOS), adem\u00e1s de los proyectos de exportaci\u00f3n de GNL de Southern Energy y Argentina LNG.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_3 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_3\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"12\">La metodolog\u00eda empleada toma como referencia la serie de Origen Provincial de las Exportaciones (OPEX) del Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (Indec). Ese criterio atribuye las ventas externas a la provincia donde se produce el bien, y no al punto por el que sale del pa\u00eds. Por ese motivo, aunque el petr\u00f3leo neuquino se embarque por Punta Colorada, en R\u00edo Negro, se computa como exportaci\u00f3n neuquina.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"13\">Para estimar el desempe\u00f1o de la provincia, Belich proyecta la producci\u00f3n petrolera con datos calibrados seg\u00fan previsiones de la C\u00e1mara de Exploraci\u00f3n y Producci\u00f3n de Hidrocarburos (CEPH). La producci\u00f3n crecer\u00eda 23% en 2027 y luego desacelerar\u00eda su ritmo hasta estabilizarse cerca de 1,5 millones de barriles diarios hacia 2035. A ese volumen se le descuenta el consumo de las refiner\u00edas locales y se le suman las ventas de GNL previstas. Buenos Aires, Santa Fe y C\u00f3rdoba se aplican en cambio tasas de crecimiento real similares a sus promedios de las \u00faltimas dos d\u00e9cadas: 1% anual para Buenos Aires, 1,2% para Santa Fe y 2% para C\u00f3rdoba.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_4 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_4\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_4\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"hipotesis-de-precios\">Hip\u00f3tesis de precios<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"14\">La disputa por el primer lugar depende en gran medida del precio internacional del petr\u00f3leo. El escenario base supone que el crudo Medanito cotizar\u00e1 a USD 85 por barril en 2026, bajar\u00e1 a USD 80 en 2027 y 2028, y seguir\u00e1 descendiendo gradualmente hasta USD 70 el barril en 2035. Tambi\u00e9n prev\u00e9 una reducci\u00f3n en el precio del GNL, desde USD 11 hasta USD 7,5 por mill\u00f3n de BTU entre 2028 y 2035, debido a una mayor oferta global liderada por Estados Unidos y Qatar.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"15\">Con esos supuestos, a su vez muy sujetos a la geopol\u00edtica y los desarrollos internacionales, como el grado de conflictividad en Medio Oriente y la transitabilidad del Estrecho de Ormuz, Neuqu\u00e9n alcanzar\u00eda el primer puesto en 2031, cuando entrar\u00eda en operaci\u00f3n Argentina LNG. Ese a\u00f1o, sus exportaciones rondar\u00edan los USD 34.300 millones y superar\u00edan por un margen reducido a las de Buenos Aires. <\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_5 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_5\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/23APPQVH5RBZLJIPZWQUXTDOSI.jpg?auth=8cc4b5cab555e22b3b51e371ffb93fb5a2a597fe47796a036488294dbaed58a4&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=620&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/23APPQVH5RBZLJIPZWQUXTDOSI.jpg?auth=8cc4b5cab555e22b3b51e371ffb93fb5a2a597fe47796a036488294dbaed58a4&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=480&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/23APPQVH5RBZLJIPZWQUXTDOSI.jpg?auth=8cc4b5cab555e22b3b51e371ffb93fb5a2a597fe47796a036488294dbaed58a4&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=361&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/23APPQVH5RBZLJIPZWQUXTDOSI.jpg?auth=8cc4b5cab555e22b3b51e371ffb93fb5a2a597fe47796a036488294dbaed58a4&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=263&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/23APPQVH5RBZLJIPZWQUXTDOSI.jpg?auth=8cc4b5cab555e22b3b51e371ffb93fb5a2a597fe47796a036488294dbaed58a4&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=219&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"El estrecho de Ormuz pas\u00f3 a ser un punto clave de la pol\u00edtica y la econom\u00eda internacionales\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1200\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/23APPQVH5RBZLJIPZWQUXTDOSI.jpg?auth=8cc4b5cab555e22b3b51e371ffb93fb5a2a597fe47796a036488294dbaed58a4&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=219&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1920\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"16\">Hacia 2035, las ventas neuquinas llegar\u00edan a unos USD 37.000 millones, cerca de USD 2.000 millones por encima de las bonaerenses. Si el barril descendiera hasta US$60, el resultado ser\u00eda menos concluyente: Neuqu\u00e9n llegar\u00eda al primer lugar reci\u00e9n en 2032, lo conservar\u00eda de forma acotada y volver\u00eda a quedar detr\u00e1s de Buenos Aires desde 2034.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"17\">Buenos Aires mantendr\u00eda una base exportadora m\u00e1s diversificada, que incluye granos, aceites, carnes, autos y productos qu\u00edmicos. Sus exportaciones llegar\u00edan a unos USD 35.000 millones en 2035. Santa Fe, condicionada por una capacidad de molienda de soja cercana a su techo, alcanzar\u00eda alrededor de USD 18.200 millones. C\u00f3rdoba, con una combinaci\u00f3n de producci\u00f3n agropecuaria, automotriz y maquinaria agr\u00edcola, sumar\u00eda unos USD 13.300 millones.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_6 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_6\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\" class=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/economia\/nota\/ad_6\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"18\">Obviamente, el clima, los precios internacionales, el ritmo de las inversiones y la ejecuci\u00f3n de las obras pueden modificar los resultados. Una sequ\u00eda, como la de 2023, podr\u00eda afectar fuertemente las ventas externas de la regi\u00f3n pampeana, acelerando el proceso, o cambios geopol\u00edticos y de precios podr\u00edan suavizar algo el \u00edmpetu del crecimiento de las exportaciones de petr\u00f3leo y gas. Pero la tendencia central es clara: Vaca Muerta est\u00e1 trasladando el eje exportador hacia la Patagonia y apunta a convertir a Neuqu\u00e9n en la principal provincia exportadora de la Argentina.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EscucharPuntos claveResumen 03 Oct, 2026 06:52 p. m. EST Guardar La regi\u00f3n pampeana fue durante gran parte de la historia argentina la principal regi\u00f3n exportadora del pa\u00eds. De hecho, lo sigue siendo. El actual ranking de provincias exportadoras lo encabeza Buenos Aires, seguida por C\u00f3rdoba y Santa Fe, gracias al peso del agro, la agroindustria [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29086,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29085","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29085","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29085"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29085\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29086"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29085"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29085"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29085"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}