{"id":29050,"date":"2026-10-03T14:18:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T17:18:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=29050"},"modified":"2026-10-03T14:18:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T17:18:28","slug":"elecciones-en-brasil-el-gobierno-preve-que-lula-gane-la-primera-vuelta-y-que-bolsonaro-tenga-ventaja-en-un-balotaje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=29050","title":{"rendered":"Elecciones en Brasil: el Gobierno prev\u00e9 que Lula gane la primera vuelta y que Bolsonaro tenga ventaja en un balotaje"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ai-tools\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-listen\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14.99 9.22417C14.89 8.65466 14.5799 8.25501 14.0497 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type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-keypoints\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5.99679 1H12.4609C13.0887 1 13.6 1.52731 13.6 2.17489V13.8251C13.6 14.4727 13.0887 15 12.4609 15H3.53913C2.91126 15 2.39999 14.4727 2.39999 13.8251V9.19802V4.57092L5.99679 1Z\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M2.39999 5.38502H6.94416V3.94555V1\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 12.2L5.50657 12.2C5.32834 12.2 5.2037 11.8667 5.20008 11.517C5.19587 11.1484 5.32111 10.8 5.50657 10.8L10.4813 10.8C10.6632 10.8 10.795 11.105 10.7998 11.4804C10.8047 11.8341 10.6842 12.2 10.491 12.2Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 9.4L5.50657 9.4C5.32834 9.4 5.2037 9.0666 5.20008 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srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/TTJFEHOHUJEK3DKS4PCUBR2KBA.jpg?auth=91c2d76b952493064d8532255a2b953e91f03e4a3a71d5df27af1f2edea289d0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/TTJFEHOHUJEK3DKS4PCUBR2KBA.jpg?auth=91c2d76b952493064d8532255a2b953e91f03e4a3a71d5df27af1f2edea289d0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/TTJFEHOHUJEK3DKS4PCUBR2KBA.jpg?auth=91c2d76b952493064d8532255a2b953e91f03e4a3a71d5df27af1f2edea289d0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/TTJFEHOHUJEK3DKS4PCUBR2KBA.jpg?auth=91c2d76b952493064d8532255a2b953e91f03e4a3a71d5df27af1f2edea289d0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/TTJFEHOHUJEK3DKS4PCUBR2KBA.jpg?auth=91c2d76b952493064d8532255a2b953e91f03e4a3a71d5df27af1f2edea289d0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Milei junto a Flavio Bolsonaro, durante la convenci\u00f3n del Partido Liberal en la que Bolsonaro fue confirmado como candidato presidencial del partido, en S\u00e3o Paulo, el s\u00e1bado 25 de julio de 2026. (Foto AP)\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\" height=\"3032\" loading=\"eager\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/TTJFEHOHUJEK3DKS4PCUBR2KBA.jpg?auth=91c2d76b952493064d8532255a2b953e91f03e4a3a71d5df27af1f2edea289d0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"4549\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-container display_flex sharebar-new\" style=\"opacity:1\">\n<div class=\"share-bar-article-date-container \"><span class=\"sharebar-article-date\">03 Oct, 2026 01:11 p. m. EST<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-container display_flex\">\n<div aria-label=\"Guardar\" class=\"sharebar-buttons button-save\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg width=\"9\" height=\"12\" viewbox=\"0 0 8 10\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"saved-icon saved\"><path d=\"M6.64286 0.5V9.31687L4.1116 7.16407L4.11106 7.16361C3.79894 6.89891 3.34392 6.89891 3.03179 7.16361L3.03126 7.16407L0.5 9.31687V0.5H6.64286Z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"buttons-save-text\">Guardar<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-separator\"><\/div>\n<p><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Telegram\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M24.9696 12.5511L10.3405 18.0494C10.0623 18.151 9.92701 18.4484 10.0398 18.7168C10.0999 18.8619 10.2277 18.9779 10.3856 19.0214L14.1068 20.0805L15.4975 24.3312C15.6028 24.6576 15.9636 24.839 16.2944 24.7374C16.3921 24.7084 16.4823 24.6504 16.5575 24.5778L18.482 22.6846L22.2558 25.354C22.6091 25.6006 23.0977 25.5281 23.3533 25.1872C23.421 25.1001 23.4661 24.9986 23.4887 24.897L25.9845 13.3707C26.0672 12.979 25.8116 12.5946 25.4056 12.5148C25.2628 12.4858 25.1124 12.5003 24.9771 12.5511M23.1429 15.1116L16.347 20.9147C16.2793 20.9727 16.2342 21.0525 16.2267 21.1395L15.9636 23.381C15.9636 23.4172 15.926 23.4462 15.8884 23.439C15.8583 23.439 15.8358 23.4172 15.8283 23.3955L14.7533 20.0442C14.7007 19.8919 14.7683 19.7251 14.9111 19.638L22.9399 14.836C23.0226 14.7852 23.1353 14.8142 23.1804 14.894C23.2255 14.9666 23.2105 15.0536 23.1504 15.1116\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Linkedin\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 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15.0383 17.6243C15.1805 18.3619 15.5983 18.9663 16.0426 19.5618C16.887 20.6638 17.8646 21.6237 19.1622 22.1925C19.7932 22.4769 20.4331 22.7613 21.1441 22.7613C21.2685 22.7613 21.393 22.7613 21.5085 22.7346C22.4506 22.5391 23.1172 22.0058 23.0816 21.0193C23.0816 20.9216 23.0194 20.7794 22.9483 20.7438C22.3973 20.4594 21.8462 20.2017 21.2863 19.9439Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><path d=\"M26.9482 17.8724C26.3972 13.4642 22.1401 10.3447 17.7229 11.1179C12.6481 11.9977 9.71521 17.2859 11.6883 21.9963C12.1948 22.6629 12.0615 23.3472 11.8216 24.0849C11.5105 25.027 11.2794 26.0046 11.0039 27C11.1194 26.9733 11.1994 26.9644 11.2794 26.9378C12.5059 26.6178 13.7324 26.3068 14.9411 25.9868C15.1544 25.9335 15.3144 25.9602 15.5099 26.0579C17.1719 26.8667 18.9227 27.0978 20.718 26.7067C24.833 25.7913 27.4548 22.0496 26.9305 17.8902L26.9482 17.8724ZM20.0515 25.4624C18.4784 25.7113 17.003 25.3913 15.6166 24.6003C15.5099 24.5381 15.3411 24.5115 15.2077 24.547C14.4612 24.7248 13.7146 24.9292 12.9147 25.1336C13.1192 24.3693 13.3058 23.6672 13.5102 22.9473C13.5635 22.7606 13.5369 22.6273 13.4391 22.4673C11.0039 18.5479 13.1014 13.5442 17.6163 12.5043C21.2868 11.6511 25.0285 14.1841 25.5884 17.908C26.1395 21.5519 23.6954 24.8936 20.0515 25.4624Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"1\">En el entorno del presidente<b> Javier Milei <\/b>afirman que el escenario m\u00e1s probable para las <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/america\/america-latina\/2026\/10\/03\/en-vivo-elecciones-brasil-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/america\/america-latina\/2026\/10\/03\/en-vivo-elecciones-brasil-2026\/\">elecciones de Brasil<\/a> de este domingo es qu<b>e el actual mandatario Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva sea el candidato m\u00e1s votado<\/b>. Ese resultado, sin embargo, <b>no le alcanzar\u00eda para poder imponerse en primera vuelta<\/b>, lo que implicar\u00eda una segunda vuelta con su m\u00e1s inmediato competidor, <b>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/b>. Aunque el panorama para esa instancia sigue sin ser claro, en la Casa Rosada creen que la inercia que lleva el postulante opositor podr\u00eda ser determinante.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-1\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"2\">\u201c<b>Nosotros vemos a un Lula claro ganador en primera vuelta, pero a Bolsonaro con mayores probabilidades de poder ganar una segunda<\/b>\u201d, afirman en la Casa de Gobierno. Qued\u00f3 lejos el escenario que se evidenciaba dos meses atr\u00e1s, cuando viaj\u00f3 personalmente a Brasil para asistir al acto de lanzamiento de Fl\u00e1vio. En ese entonces, el presidente brasile\u00f1o parec\u00eda tener un panorama completamente favorable para ambas instancias; pero la diferencia se redujo de manera considerable con el pasar de las semanas.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"3\">En la Casa Rosada evitan hacer una proyecci\u00f3n de n\u00fameros y prefieren hablar de tendencias. A diferencia de otras semanas, diversos funcionarios del Ejecutivo y dirigentes del entorno libertario optaron por no emitir demasiados comentarios respecto al desarrollo de los comicios.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-3\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"4\">Quien s\u00ed realiz\u00f3 comentarios fue el propio Milei durante una entrevisa con el medio franc\u00e9s Le Point, el cual fue publicado este martes, horas antes de que arribara a Par\u00eds para participar del Argentina Week. All\u00ed <b>volvi\u00f3 a calificar al mandatario brasile\u00f1o de \u201cladr\u00f3n<\/b>\u201d y lo acus\u00f3 de haber salido de prisi\u00f3n \u201cpor un tecnicismo administrativo orquestado por un juez c\u00f3mplice [en alusi\u00f3n al juez del Tribunal Supremo Federal de Brasil, Alexandre de Moraes]\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/VLNFN43NBNAEHFMU5NHGSY2554.JPG?auth=b2d5c40de8e9c37879bf7b53588632a7e212d3078a2b11b12703bba3489af6d3&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=604&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/VLNFN43NBNAEHFMU5NHGSY2554.JPG?auth=b2d5c40de8e9c37879bf7b53588632a7e212d3078a2b11b12703bba3489af6d3&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=467&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/VLNFN43NBNAEHFMU5NHGSY2554.JPG?auth=b2d5c40de8e9c37879bf7b53588632a7e212d3078a2b11b12703bba3489af6d3&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=351&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/VLNFN43NBNAEHFMU5NHGSY2554.JPG?auth=b2d5c40de8e9c37879bf7b53588632a7e212d3078a2b11b12703bba3489af6d3&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=256&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/VLNFN43NBNAEHFMU5NHGSY2554.JPG?auth=b2d5c40de8e9c37879bf7b53588632a7e212d3078a2b11b12703bba3489af6d3&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=213&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Javier Milei con Flavio Bolsonaro. REUTERS\/Jean Carniel\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1216\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/VLNFN43NBNAEHFMU5NHGSY2554.JPG?auth=b2d5c40de8e9c37879bf7b53588632a7e212d3078a2b11b12703bba3489af6d3&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=213&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1998\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"5\">En el reportaje, Milei tambi\u00e9n<b> volvi\u00f3 a acusar al gobierno de Lula de haber realizado una interferencia en la campa\u00f1a presidencial del 2023<\/b> y de haber querido perjudicarlo. \u201cDurante mi campa\u00f1a envi\u00f3 a varios comunicadores y psic\u00f3logos a Buenos Aires para montar operaciones sucias contra m\u00ed\u201d, sostuvo el mandatario. Hasta el momento, las denuncias han sido todas declamatorias y ninguna se realiz\u00f3 en el plano judicial.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-5\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"6\">Infobae pudo saber que estas declaraciones no cayeron bien en el Palacio do Planalto, la sede del Ejecutivo brasile\u00f1o. \u201c<b>La situaci\u00f3n dista de ser ideal. De nuestra parte existe una intenci\u00f3n de resguardar el v\u00ednculo<\/b>\u201d, marc\u00f3 una fuente gubernamental del pa\u00eds vecino. Es por ese motivo que han tomado la decisi\u00f3n de que el embajador en la Argentina, Julio Bitelli, no vuelva a nuestro territorio, de m\u00ednima, hasta despu\u00e9s de las elecciones.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_1 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_1\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"7\">En la Casa Rosada tienen la misma postura. <b>El embajador en Brasil, Daniel Raimondi, no tiene fecha prevista para retornar a la sede diplom\u00e1tica en Brasilia<\/b>. \u201cEl estatus que se va a mantener entre ambos pa\u00edses va a ser como el que se mantuvo en el \u00faltimo tiempo, a nivel de Encargados de Negocios\u201d, respondieron en el Gobierno.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5X33RY4UHBF4BHRWUJLDWFCCXM.JPG?auth=a04e491c63e2061f60c9308e650e3092a33daaed2e6325fcb6de771898b477c0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5X33RY4UHBF4BHRWUJLDWFCCXM.JPG?auth=a04e491c63e2061f60c9308e650e3092a33daaed2e6325fcb6de771898b477c0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5X33RY4UHBF4BHRWUJLDWFCCXM.JPG?auth=a04e491c63e2061f60c9308e650e3092a33daaed2e6325fcb6de771898b477c0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5X33RY4UHBF4BHRWUJLDWFCCXM.JPG?auth=a04e491c63e2061f60c9308e650e3092a33daaed2e6325fcb6de771898b477c0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5X33RY4UHBF4BHRWUJLDWFCCXM.JPG?auth=a04e491c63e2061f60c9308e650e3092a33daaed2e6325fcb6de771898b477c0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Lula da Silva.  REUTERS\/Brian Snyder\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"3173\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/5X33RY4UHBF4BHRWUJLDWFCCXM.JPG?auth=a04e491c63e2061f60c9308e650e3092a33daaed2e6325fcb6de771898b477c0&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"4760\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"8\">El Ministerio de Seguridad Nacional que comanda la ministra Alejandra Monteoliva orden\u00f3 un refuerzo de la cobertura sobre las sedes diplom\u00e1ticas que tiene Brasil en Argentina. El Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) inform\u00f3 que <b>hay 13.138 personas habilitadas en el pa\u00eds para votar este domingo<\/b>: 11.873 en la Embajada de Brasil en Buenos Aires, 926 en el Consulado General en C\u00f3rdoba, 236 en el Consulado General en Mendoza, 62 en el Consulado General en Puerto Iguaz\u00fa y 41 en el Consulado en Paso de los Libres. El horario de votaci\u00f3n en la sede de la Capital Federal ser\u00e1 entre las 08:00 y las 17:00.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"9\">Se prev\u00e9 que ma\u00f1ana hable el canciller Pablo Quirno y d\u00e9 su lectura sobre el desarrollo de los comicios. A diferencia de lo que hicieron pa\u00edses como Estados Unidos, Australia, Canad\u00e1 y el Reino Unido,<b> Argentina no realiz\u00f3 ning\u00fan alerta sobre potenciales riesgos a la seguridad de sus sedes consulares<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"10\">\u201cSi Estados Unidos recibi\u00f3 alguna amenaza puede estar relacionado a que Lula decidi\u00f3 enfatizar como uno de los ejes del \u00faltimo tramo de su campa\u00f1a una supuesta injerencia externa en el proceso electoral\u201d, analiz\u00f3 una importante fuente del Ejecutivo Nacional. Y agreg\u00f3: \u201c<b>Hay cierta apat\u00eda de los brasile\u00f1os en estas elecciones; no vemos riesgo de hechos violentos en las pr\u00f3ximas semanas<\/b>\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_3 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_3\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"11\">Muy por lo bajo, <b>en la Casa Rosada se ha escuchado a importantes despachos decir que prefieren que gane Lula por sobre Bolsonaro<\/b>. Es un deseo que no se corresponde con lo que quiere Milei, pero que se funda en la lectura de que una victoria del candidato del Partido Liberal podr\u00eda opacar el rol del mandatario argentino como l\u00edder regional, as\u00ed como la relaci\u00f3n preferencial con Estados Unidos. En particular, quienes miran esto \u00faltimo ven que la econom\u00eda de Brasil podr\u00eda tener serias dificultades el a\u00f1o pr\u00f3ximo y que podr\u00eda haber una cierta disputa con el pa\u00eds vecino para recibir alg\u00fan fondo de contingencia en caso de ser necesario.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/L4CDNJC3RFCAVGG4XIJYFLPW3I.jpg?auth=3dadad2115e8c1f18394a2d669dbf8428f541fa7ac64fe7b8ab7f38677b86914&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=744&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/L4CDNJC3RFCAVGG4XIJYFLPW3I.jpg?auth=3dadad2115e8c1f18394a2d669dbf8428f541fa7ac64fe7b8ab7f38677b86914&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=576&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/L4CDNJC3RFCAVGG4XIJYFLPW3I.jpg?auth=3dadad2115e8c1f18394a2d669dbf8428f541fa7ac64fe7b8ab7f38677b86914&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=433&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/L4CDNJC3RFCAVGG4XIJYFLPW3I.jpg?auth=3dadad2115e8c1f18394a2d669dbf8428f541fa7ac64fe7b8ab7f38677b86914&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=315&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/L4CDNJC3RFCAVGG4XIJYFLPW3I.jpg?auth=3dadad2115e8c1f18394a2d669dbf8428f541fa7ac64fe7b8ab7f38677b86914&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=263&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Javier Milei G20\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"925\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/L4CDNJC3RFCAVGG4XIJYFLPW3I.jpg?auth=3dadad2115e8c1f18394a2d669dbf8428f541fa7ac64fe7b8ab7f38677b86914&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=263&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1233\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"12\"><b>Todas estas lecturas podr\u00edan ser, cuanto menos, relativizadas<\/b>. Hay un posicionamiento transversal en el establishment de Estados Unidos de apoyar a la administraci\u00f3n de Milei pese a cualquier viraje de gesti\u00f3n en otros pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n. El inter\u00e9s de Washington sobre la circulaci\u00f3n bioce\u00e1nica sobre la zona de Tierra del Fuego se mira en clave de la disputa geopol\u00edtica con China. Es decir, la centralidad va a seguir existiendo de cualquier manera.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_4 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_4\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"13\">Si bien Flavio Bolsonaro tendr\u00eda una afinidad mucho mayor con la administraci\u00f3n Trump, las distancias ideol\u00f3gicas no le han impedido a Lula de tener encuentros de magnitudes. Un mandato del dirigente del PL tampoco podr\u00e1 relegar de su v\u00ednculo con China: no ha propuesto romper su pertenencia al BRICS y una parte significativa de sus exportaciones de productos primarios se env\u00edan a la potencia asi\u00e1tica.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"14\">En relaci\u00f3n al apoyo econ\u00f3mico, la econom\u00eda brasile\u00f1a tiene una dimensi\u00f3n que ser\u00eda pr\u00e1cticamente imposible pensar en un apoyo econ\u00f3mico que pudiera ser realista y que no sea cuestionado en la pol\u00edtica interna estadounidense. Los eventuales montos que precisar\u00eda Argentina son ostensiblemente menores.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_5 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_5\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EscucharPuntos claveResumen 03 Oct, 2026 01:11 p. m. EST Guardar En el entorno del presidente Javier Milei afirman que el escenario m\u00e1s probable para las elecciones de Brasil de este domingo es que el actual mandatario Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva sea el candidato m\u00e1s votado. Ese resultado, sin embargo, no le alcanzar\u00eda para poder [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29050"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29050\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/29051"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}