{"id":28602,"date":"2026-09-30T09:00:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T12:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=28602"},"modified":"2026-09-30T09:00:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T12:00:10","slug":"la-confianza-en-el-gobierno-cayo-59-es-un-buen-predictor-de-lo-que-despues-ocurre-electoralmente-dijo-uno-de-los-responsables-del-indice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/?p=28602","title":{"rendered":"La confianza en el Gobierno cay\u00f3 5,9%: \u201cEs un buen predictor de lo que despu\u00e9s ocurre electoralmente\u201d, dijo uno de los responsables del \u00edndice"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ai-tools\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-listen\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M14.99 9.22417C14.89 8.65466 14.5799 8.25501 14.0497 8.0352C14.0096 8.01522 13.9696 7.94528 13.9696 7.90532C13.9196 6.81627 13.6395 5.79716 13.0493 4.86797C12.0589 3.28934 10.6484 2.3102 8.80779 2.06042C6.8771 1.80064 5.1965 2.38014 3.81601 3.76893C2.69561 4.89794 2.10539 6.28673 2.04537 7.89533C2.04537 7.97526 2.01536 8.00523 1.94534 8.0352C1.35513 8.29498 1.03501 8.77456 1.01501 9.42399C0.994998 10.4731 0.994998 11.5222 1.01501 12.5712C1.02501 13.2507 1.53519 13.8701 2.19543 13.96C2.64559 14.02 3.10575 13.97 3.58592 13.97V13.8102C3.58592 11.9818 3.58592 10.1434 3.58592 8.31496C3.58592 7.93529 3.61593 7.54563 3.69596 7.16596C3.88603 6.2068 4.34619 5.38751 5.06645 4.73808C6.21686 3.69899 7.55734 3.34929 9.05788 3.71897C10.2483 4.00872 11.1486 4.7181 11.7889 5.78716C12.259 6.56648 12.4291 7.42573 12.4291 8.32495C12.4291 10.1534 12.4291 11.9918 12.4291 13.8301V14C12.8492 14 13.2494 14 13.6495 14C14.0497 13.99 14.3698 13.8002 14.6299 13.5004C14.8299 13.2706 14.93 12.9909 15 12.6911V9.29411C15 9.29411 14.98 9.26413 14.98 9.24415L14.99 9.22417Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M5.08646 8.4948C5.04645 8.18507 4.74634 7.98525 4.45623 8.06518C4.21615 8.13512 4.0761 8.32495 4.0761 8.60471C4.0761 9.40401 4.0761 10.2133 4.0761 11.0126C4.0761 11.8119 4.0761 12.6312 4.0761 13.4505C4.0761 13.8401 4.44623 14.0899 4.78635 13.9401C5.03644 13.8301 5.10647 13.6203 5.10647 13.3606C5.10647 11.8019 5.10647 10.2333 5.10647 8.67464C5.10647 8.6147 5.10647 8.55475 5.09646 8.4948H5.08646Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M11.2587 8.08516C11.0386 8.16509 10.9185 8.36492 10.9185 8.66465C10.9185 10.2333 10.9185 11.8119 10.9185 13.3805C10.9185 13.4405 10.9185 13.4904 10.9285 13.5504C10.9586 13.7902 11.1686 13.98 11.4087 13.99C11.7188 14 11.9489 13.7802 11.9489 13.4405C11.9489 12.6412 11.9489 11.8319 11.9489 11.0326V10.1933C11.9489 9.65379 11.9489 9.10427 11.9489 8.56474C11.9489 8.19506 11.5888 7.95527 11.2587 8.08516Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"ai-tools-label\">Escuchar<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-keypoints\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M5.99679 1H12.4609C13.0887 1 13.6 1.52731 13.6 2.17489V13.8251C13.6 14.4727 13.0887 15 12.4609 15H3.53913C2.91126 15 2.39999 14.4727 2.39999 13.8251V9.19802V4.57092L5.99679 1Z\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M2.39999 5.38502H6.94416V3.94555V1\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.2\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 12.2L5.50657 12.2C5.32834 12.2 5.2037 11.8667 5.20008 11.517C5.19587 11.1484 5.32111 10.8 5.50657 10.8L10.4813 10.8C10.6632 10.8 10.795 11.105 10.7998 11.4804C10.8047 11.8341 10.6842 12.2 10.491 12.2Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.491 9.4L5.50657 9.4C5.32834 9.4 5.2037 9.0666 5.20008 8.71694C5.19587 8.34831 5.32111 8 5.50657 8L10.4813 8C10.6632 8 10.795 8.30494 10.7998 8.68035C10.8047 9.03408 10.6842 9.4 10.491 9.4Z\" fill=\"#e46211\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"ai-tools-label\">Puntos clave<\/span><\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"ai-tools-item\" aria-pressed=\"false\" aria-busy=\"true\" disabled id=\"ai-tool-summary\"><span class=\"ai-tools-icon\"><svg width=\"16\" height=\"16\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M10.1798 2.50989H2.00488C1.45082 2.50989 0.999667 2.97515 0.999667 3.54653V13.8259C0.999667 14.3973 1.45082 14.8626 2.00488 14.8626H9.87772C10.4318 14.8626 10.8829 14.3973 10.8829 13.8259V9.74329V8.13118\" stroke=\"#e46211\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-miterlimit=\"10\"><\/path><path d=\"M10.1892 0.937134C10.6648 0.938475 11.1562 1.16366 11.4167 1.62561C11.55 1.86167 11.6275 2.09395 11.6863 2.31506C11.7155 2.42487 11.7409 2.53449 11.7654 2.63831C11.7901 2.74317 11.8143 2.84342 11.8425 2.94202C11.9524 3.32501 12.1244 3.68637 12.6199 4.0387C12.813 4.1759 13.0533 4.26585 13.323 4.34534C13.5791 4.42077 13.8884 4.49238 14.1492 4.58362C14.4177 4.6776 14.6844 4.80688 14.8826 5.02698C15.086 5.25292 15.1994 5.55472 15.2 5.95667C15.2005 6.36975 15.0629 6.67221 14.8289 6.89612C14.6041 7.11103 14.3039 7.24024 14.0056 7.34241C13.8552 7.39392 13.6973 7.44108 13.5447 7.48792C13.3904 7.53527 13.2391 7.5828 13.0935 7.63733C12.801 7.74696 12.5446 7.87952 12.3503 8.07385C12.0286 8.39622 11.9022 8.69439 11.8142 9.0094C11.7284 9.31674 11.669 9.70188 11.4919 10.0973C11.021 11.1507 9.52066 11.2437 8.96753 10.2555L8.91675 10.1569C8.78168 9.86581 8.70167 9.59099 8.63452 9.34045C8.56606 9.08502 8.51334 8.86637 8.43335 8.65979C8.3555 8.45883 8.25391 8.27717 8.09253 8.10901C7.93025 7.94001 7.69993 7.776 7.35522 7.62073H7.35425C7.21051 7.55596 7.0298 7.5073 6.82104 7.45471C6.61857 7.40371 6.39051 7.3487 6.17847 7.27405C5.75409 7.12455 5.32309 6.86818 5.22729 6.30334C5.147 5.82785 5.20205 5.46325 5.37769 5.1842C5.55162 4.90818 5.8236 4.74853 6.1062 4.63733C6.38303 4.52841 6.70997 4.45202 6.99292 4.36975C7.28806 4.28393 7.55375 4.18824 7.76538 4.03772L7.93726 3.90491C8.30541 3.59437 8.45094 3.27848 8.54761 2.94592C8.60838 2.73677 8.64117 2.55614 8.70288 2.32092C8.76088 2.09995 8.83661 1.86635 8.96655 1.62756L9.073 1.4635C9.34447 1.10658 9.7727 0.936014 10.1892 0.937134ZM10.1785 3.151C9.91182 3.94374 9.55711 4.56476 9.04956 5.04163C8.6241 5.44134 8.10162 5.72923 7.45972 5.93909C8.77264 6.36001 9.87121 7.38936 10.2097 8.74377C10.4707 7.9695 10.8197 7.33816 11.3201 6.85217C11.7453 6.43925 12.271 6.142 12.9216 5.94495C11.6239 5.4965 10.5274 4.50683 10.1785 3.151Z\" fill=\"#e46211\" stroke=\"var(--gray-10)\" stroke-width=\"0.4\"><\/path><\/svg><\/span><span class=\"ai-tools-label\">Resumen<\/span><\/button><\/div>\n<div class=\"jwplayer-ctn\"><script src=\"https:\/\/census-web.scorecardresearch.com\/plugins\/streaming-jwplayer\/v2\/current.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div id=\"BRO6VBGETZFAHJMSEERCRYBBHQ-custom_embed0\"><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"jwplayer-figcaption\">La Universidad Torcuato Di Tella elabora la medici\u00f3n mediante una encuesta nacional a mil personas basada en cinco preguntas sobre la gesti\u00f3n p\u00fablica<\/figcaption><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-container display_flex sharebar-new\" style=\"opacity:1\">\n<div class=\"share-bar-article-date-container \"><span class=\"sharebar-article-date\">30 Sep, 2026 07:47 a. m. EST<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-container display_flex\">\n<div aria-label=\"Guardar\" class=\"sharebar-buttons button-save\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\"><svg width=\"9\" height=\"12\" viewbox=\"0 0 8 10\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"saved-icon saved\"><path d=\"M6.64286 0.5V9.31687L4.1116 7.16407L4.11106 7.16361C3.79894 6.89891 3.34392 6.89891 3.03179 7.16361L3.03126 7.16407L0.5 9.31687V0.5H6.64286Z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"buttons-save-text\">Guardar<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sharebar-buttons-separator\"><\/div>\n<p><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Telegram\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M24.9696 12.5511L10.3405 18.0494C10.0623 18.151 9.92701 18.4484 10.0398 18.7168C10.0999 18.8619 10.2277 18.9779 10.3856 19.0214L14.1068 20.0805L15.4975 24.3312C15.6028 24.6576 15.9636 24.839 16.2944 24.7374C16.3921 24.7084 16.4823 24.6504 16.5575 24.5778L18.482 22.6846L22.2558 25.354C22.6091 25.6006 23.0977 25.5281 23.3533 25.1872C23.421 25.1001 23.4661 24.9986 23.4887 24.897L25.9845 13.3707C26.0672 12.979 25.8116 12.5946 25.4056 12.5148C25.2628 12.4858 25.1124 12.5003 24.9771 12.5511M23.1429 15.1116L16.347 20.9147C16.2793 20.9727 16.2342 21.0525 16.2267 21.1395L15.9636 23.381C15.9636 23.4172 15.926 23.4462 15.8884 23.439C15.8583 23.439 15.8358 23.4172 15.8283 23.3955L14.7533 20.0442C14.7007 19.8919 14.7683 19.7251 14.9111 19.638L22.9399 14.836C23.0226 14.7852 23.1353 14.8142 23.1804 14.894C23.2255 14.9666 23.2105 15.0536 23.1504 15.1116\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Linkedin\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 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11.8465 11.8055 11.0041 12.787 11.0041C12.8426 11.0041 12.8982 11.0041 12.9537 11.0041C13.9445 10.9363 14.7963 11.7206 14.8611 12.7567C14.8611 12.7954 14.8611 12.8438 14.8611 12.8825C14.8426 13.9283 14.0278 14.761 13.0278 14.7416C12.9907 14.7416 12.9537 14.7416 12.9259 14.7416H12.9074C11.9259 14.8191 11.0741 14.0445 11 13.0181C11 12.9697 11 12.931 11 12.8825H11.0093Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Twitter\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M11.0391 11L17.2165 19.8249L11 27H12.399L17.8415 20.7182L22.2389 27H27L20.475 17.6786L26.2613 11H24.8623L19.85 16.7855L15.8001 11H11.0391ZM13.0965 12.101H15.2838L24.9423 25.8987H22.7551L13.0965 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18.9315H20.2236V27H17.3629L17.3544 26.9921Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><button class=\"sharemenu-buttons display_flex\" aria-label=\"Compartir en Whatsapp\"><svg width=\"38\" height=\"38\" viewbox=\"0 0 38 38\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" fill=\"white\"><\/rect><rect x=\"0.5\" y=\"0.5\" width=\"37\" height=\"37\" rx=\"18.5\" stroke=\"#C2C2C2\"><\/rect><path d=\"M21.2863 19.9439C21.0997 19.8551 20.9664 19.9262 20.8419 20.0861C20.6731 20.3261 20.4687 20.5483 20.2909 20.7794C20.1665 20.9393 20.0243 20.9749 19.8376 20.8949C18.6645 20.4239 17.7757 19.6506 17.1269 18.5841C17.0292 18.4242 17.038 18.2997 17.1536 18.1575C17.3225 17.9531 17.4824 17.7576 17.6157 17.5354C17.678 17.4287 17.7135 17.2599 17.678 17.1532C17.4735 16.6111 17.2425 16.0867 17.0114 15.5535C16.9669 15.4557 16.8781 15.3313 16.7892 15.3224C16.4248 15.2602 16.0426 15.1891 15.7316 15.4912C15.1094 16.0778 14.8784 16.7977 15.0383 17.6243C15.1805 18.3619 15.5983 18.9663 16.0426 19.5618C16.887 20.6638 17.8646 21.6237 19.1622 22.1925C19.7932 22.4769 20.4331 22.7613 21.1441 22.7613C21.2685 22.7613 21.393 22.7613 21.5085 22.7346C22.4506 22.5391 23.1172 22.0058 23.0816 21.0193C23.0816 20.9216 23.0194 20.7794 22.9483 20.7438C22.3973 20.4594 21.8462 20.2017 21.2863 19.9439Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><path d=\"M26.9482 17.8724C26.3972 13.4642 22.1401 10.3447 17.7229 11.1179C12.6481 11.9977 9.71521 17.2859 11.6883 21.9963C12.1948 22.6629 12.0615 23.3472 11.8216 24.0849C11.5105 25.027 11.2794 26.0046 11.0039 27C11.1194 26.9733 11.1994 26.9644 11.2794 26.9378C12.5059 26.6178 13.7324 26.3068 14.9411 25.9868C15.1544 25.9335 15.3144 25.9602 15.5099 26.0579C17.1719 26.8667 18.9227 27.0978 20.718 26.7067C24.833 25.7913 27.4548 22.0496 26.9305 17.8902L26.9482 17.8724ZM20.0515 25.4624C18.4784 25.7113 17.003 25.3913 15.6166 24.6003C15.5099 24.5381 15.3411 24.5115 15.2077 24.547C14.4612 24.7248 13.7146 24.9292 12.9147 25.1336C13.1192 24.3693 13.3058 23.6672 13.5102 22.9473C13.5635 22.7606 13.5369 22.6273 13.4391 22.4673C11.0039 18.5479 13.1014 13.5442 17.6163 12.5043C21.2868 11.6511 25.0285 14.1841 25.5884 17.908C26.1395 21.5519 23.6954 24.8936 20.0515 25.4624Z\" fill=\"#555555\"><\/path><\/svg><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"1\">El <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/politica\/2026\/09\/28\/cayo-la-confianza-en-el-gobierno-e-igualo-la-peor-medicion-de-la-era-milei\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/politica\/2026\/09\/28\/cayo-la-confianza-en-el-gobierno-e-igualo-la-peor-medicion-de-la-era-milei\/\"><b>\u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno<\/b><\/a> cay\u00f3 <b>5,9% en septiembre<\/b> y registr\u00f3 bajas en sus cinco componentes. La medici\u00f3n abarca a la administraci\u00f3n de Javier Milei en Argentina, durante el mes 33 de su mandato.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-1\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"2\"><b>Carlos Gervasoni<\/b>, profesor del Departamento de Ciencia Pol\u00edtica y Estudios Internacionales de la <b>Universidad Torcuato Di Tella<\/b>, afirm\u00f3 en <a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/tag\/infobae-al-amanecer\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/tag\/infobae-al-amanecer\/\"><i>Infobae Al Amanecer<\/i><\/a> que el resultado no define un escenario electoral inmediato. \u201c<b>Es un n\u00famero normal, t\u00edpico, promedio, para esta \u00e9poca de la presidencia<\/b>\u201d, sostuvo.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"3\">El responsable del \u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno de la Di Tella se\u00f1al\u00f3 que la ca\u00edda exige seguimiento durante el a\u00f1o electoral. Aun as\u00ed, precis\u00f3 que el indicador de Milei supera los niveles de varias administraciones en igual etapa.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-3\"><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"que-mide-el-indice-de-confianza-en-el-gobierno\">Qu\u00e9 mide el \u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"4\">Gervasoni explic\u00f3 que el \u00edndice var\u00eda entre 0 y 5 puntos. La Universidad Torcuato Di Tella elabora la medici\u00f3n a partir de una <b>encuesta nacional a mil argentinos.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"5\">El relevamiento re\u00fane <b>cinco preguntas sobre la gesti\u00f3n presidencial<\/b>. La encuesta consulta por la evaluaci\u00f3n general del Gobierno, la honestidad de sus funcionarios y la capacidad para resolver problemas.<\/p>\n<div class=\"marfeel-recommender marfeel-recommender-5\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/HUXZMIDDNBHJND5IR5CCJUMDKY.jpeg?auth=ee0ba5ce5028c4cc3617b01e00f867ef63ba8b549b651ed5f636a845d872ca3d&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/HUXZMIDDNBHJND5IR5CCJUMDKY.jpeg?auth=ee0ba5ce5028c4cc3617b01e00f867ef63ba8b549b651ed5f636a845d872ca3d&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/HUXZMIDDNBHJND5IR5CCJUMDKY.jpeg?auth=ee0ba5ce5028c4cc3617b01e00f867ef63ba8b549b651ed5f636a845d872ca3d&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/HUXZMIDDNBHJND5IR5CCJUMDKY.jpeg?auth=ee0ba5ce5028c4cc3617b01e00f867ef63ba8b549b651ed5f636a845d872ca3d&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/HUXZMIDDNBHJND5IR5CCJUMDKY.jpeg?auth=ee0ba5ce5028c4cc3617b01e00f867ef63ba8b549b651ed5f636a845d872ca3d&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"El Presidente Javier Milei participa del Tedeum y las celebraciones en el Cabildo por el 25 de Mayo\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"2773\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/HUXZMIDDNBHJND5IR5CCJUMDKY.jpeg?auth=ee0ba5ce5028c4cc3617b01e00f867ef63ba8b549b651ed5f636a845d872ca3d&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"4160\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"6\">El cuestionario tambi\u00e9n indaga sobre el bienestar de la mayor\u00eda de la poblaci\u00f3n y la eficiencia en el gasto p\u00fablico. Gervasoni resumi\u00f3 el m\u00e9todo: \u201c<b>El promedio de lo que la gente contesta a esas cinco preguntas es lo que definimos como la confianza<\/b>\u201d.<\/p>\n<div class=\"inline_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-inline ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"inline_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/inline_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"7\">El profesor se\u00f1al\u00f3 que los cinco componentes suelen registrar movimientos similares. <b>En septiembre, la mayor\u00eda de esas variables mostr\u00f3 una baja<\/b>, de acuerdo con su explicaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"8\">La medici\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n present\u00f3 descensos en distintos grupos de la poblaci\u00f3n. El informe registr\u00f3 retrocesos seg\u00fan <b>zonas geogr\u00e1ficas, edades, estratos sociales y g\u00e9nero.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"9\">Gervasoni remarc\u00f3 que el indicador no funciona como una encuesta de intenci\u00f3n de voto. <b>\u201cEs una encuesta que simplemente mide actitudes hacia el Gobierno<\/b>\u201d, precis\u00f3 durante la entrevista.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/33U2GBNKLBDXXIKXMKM5PQHUPE.jpg?auth=3423075267a8d8363af044cedc4b942eb03551d4461c02bb9deeb1f0d4d6be19&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/33U2GBNKLBDXXIKXMKM5PQHUPE.jpg?auth=3423075267a8d8363af044cedc4b942eb03551d4461c02bb9deeb1f0d4d6be19&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/33U2GBNKLBDXXIKXMKM5PQHUPE.jpg?auth=3423075267a8d8363af044cedc4b942eb03551d4461c02bb9deeb1f0d4d6be19&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/33U2GBNKLBDXXIKXMKM5PQHUPE.jpg?auth=3423075267a8d8363af044cedc4b942eb03551d4461c02bb9deeb1f0d4d6be19&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/33U2GBNKLBDXXIKXMKM5PQHUPE.jpg?auth=3423075267a8d8363af044cedc4b942eb03551d4461c02bb9deeb1f0d4d6be19&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"El nivel de confianza del actual gobierno se ubica por encima de los registros de Cristina Fern\u00e1ndez de Kirchner, Mauricio Macri y Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez en el mismo per\u00edodo de mandato EFE\/ Esteban Garay\n\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"2070\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/33U2GBNKLBDXXIKXMKM5PQHUPE.jpg?auth=3423075267a8d8363af044cedc4b942eb03551d4461c02bb9deeb1f0d4d6be19&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"3105\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"la-comparacion-de-milei-con-otros-presidentes\">La comparaci\u00f3n de Milei con otros presidentes<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"10\">Seg\u00fan detall\u00f3 el docente, el \u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno permite comparar el desempe\u00f1o de distintas administraciones porque la universidad utiliza la misma metodolog\u00eda desde hace 25 a\u00f1os.<b> La serie re\u00fane cerca de 300 meses de mediciones.<\/b><\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_1 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_1\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_1\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"11\">Gervasoni ubic\u00f3 el dato actual de Milei en un nivel intermedio dentro de la comparaci\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica. <b>\u201cEl Gobierno est\u00e1 un poquito m\u00e1s arriba\u201d que Cristina Fern\u00e1ndez de Kirchner y Mauricio Macri en el mes 33<\/b>, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"12\">El docente indic\u00f3 que la administraci\u00f3n actual se encuentra por debajo del registro de N\u00e9stor Kirchner en la misma etapa. A la vez, se\u00f1al\u00f3 que supera con distancia el nivel de Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"13\"><b>\u201cEst\u00e1 bastante m\u00e1s abajo de donde estaba N\u00e9stor Kirchner en su mes 33 y bastante m\u00e1s arriba de donde estaba Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez\u201d<\/b>, describi\u00f3 Gervasoni.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"14\">El responsable del \u00edndice evit\u00f3 una definici\u00f3n extrema sobre el resultado de septiembre. \u201c<b>No dir\u00eda excelente ni tampoco muy malo<\/b>\u201d, expres\u00f3 al evaluar la posici\u00f3n del Gobierno dentro de la serie.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_2 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_2\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_2\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/BEWENZUFVBE4HAF3R3RW2EPMD4.JPG?auth=471fb2b51ec8a7272f1787cd0abdfa2ed8cd6252e09c4bea9497217d330989dc&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/BEWENZUFVBE4HAF3R3RW2EPMD4.JPG?auth=471fb2b51ec8a7272f1787cd0abdfa2ed8cd6252e09c4bea9497217d330989dc&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/BEWENZUFVBE4HAF3R3RW2EPMD4.JPG?auth=471fb2b51ec8a7272f1787cd0abdfa2ed8cd6252e09c4bea9497217d330989dc&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/BEWENZUFVBE4HAF3R3RW2EPMD4.JPG?auth=471fb2b51ec8a7272f1787cd0abdfa2ed8cd6252e09c4bea9497217d330989dc&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/BEWENZUFVBE4HAF3R3RW2EPMD4.JPG?auth=471fb2b51ec8a7272f1787cd0abdfa2ed8cd6252e09c4bea9497217d330989dc&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"La capacidad predictiva del indicador respecto de los resultados electorales aumenta cuando la medici\u00f3n se efect\u00faa en fechas cercanas a los comicios REUTERS\/Mariana Nedelcu\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"3934\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/BEWENZUFVBE4HAF3R3RW2EPMD4.JPG?auth=471fb2b51ec8a7272f1787cd0abdfa2ed8cd6252e09c4bea9497217d330989dc&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"5900\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"15\">La comparaci\u00f3n incluye trayectorias diferentes entre las presidencias. Gervasoni record\u00f3 que la gesti\u00f3n de Eduardo Duhalde tuvo una duraci\u00f3n at\u00edpica y que cada administraci\u00f3n atraves\u00f3 circunstancias pol\u00edticas y econ\u00f3micas propias.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"por-que-el-indice-no-anticipa-por-si-solo-una-eleccion\">Por qu\u00e9 el \u00edndice no anticipa por s\u00ed solo una elecci\u00f3n<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"16\">El \u00edndice puede aportar informaci\u00f3n sobre el respaldo p\u00fablico de un Gobierno, aunque no anticipa por s\u00ed solo un resultado electoral. Gervasoni afirm\u00f3 que <b>la medici\u00f3n gana capacidad de predicci\u00f3n cuando se realiza cerca de una elecci\u00f3n.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"17\">\u201cEs un buen predictor de lo que despu\u00e9s ocurre electoralmente, pero es un buen predictor primero, cerca de las elecciones\u201d, explic\u00f3 el profesor de la Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"18\">Gervasoni plante\u00f3 que una medici\u00f3n de agosto del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o ofrecer\u00eda m\u00e1s elementos para evaluar una elecci\u00f3n. Mencion\u00f3 tanto <b>las PASO<\/b> como los <b>comicios generales de octubre.<\/b><\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_3 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_3\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"19\">El acad\u00e9mico advirti\u00f3 que las campa\u00f1as, los candidatos y la configuraci\u00f3n de la oposici\u00f3n pueden modificar cualquier proyecci\u00f3n. <b>Un Gobierno puede obtener un porcentaje similar con resultados pol\u00edticos diferentes, seg\u00fan la competencia electoral.<\/b><\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UAV4M7OAMRA37LMIPYCNLFJE7Y.JPG?auth=6bb12580490f463fb6b8522eaf8e4a1d44f4fda3b8b707efa8a4b6c3ce04abbb&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=661&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UAV4M7OAMRA37LMIPYCNLFJE7Y.JPG?auth=6bb12580490f463fb6b8522eaf8e4a1d44f4fda3b8b707efa8a4b6c3ce04abbb&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=512&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UAV4M7OAMRA37LMIPYCNLFJE7Y.JPG?auth=6bb12580490f463fb6b8522eaf8e4a1d44f4fda3b8b707efa8a4b6c3ce04abbb&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=385&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UAV4M7OAMRA37LMIPYCNLFJE7Y.JPG?auth=6bb12580490f463fb6b8522eaf8e4a1d44f4fda3b8b707efa8a4b6c3ce04abbb&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=280&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UAV4M7OAMRA37LMIPYCNLFJE7Y.JPG?auth=6bb12580490f463fb6b8522eaf8e4a1d44f4fda3b8b707efa8a4b6c3ce04abbb&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Las administraciones con mayor respaldo p\u00fablico consiguen mejores condiciones para obtener el acompa\u00f1amiento de legisladores no oficialistas REUTERS\/Agust\u00edn Marcarian\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"3667\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/UAV4M7OAMRA37LMIPYCNLFJE7Y.JPG?auth=6bb12580490f463fb6b8522eaf8e4a1d44f4fda3b8b707efa8a4b6c3ce04abbb&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=233&amp;quality=85\" width=\"5500\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"20\"><b>\u201cNo es lo mismo que un gobierno saque 40% o 38% o 45% con la oposici\u00f3n fragmentada\u201d<\/b>, se\u00f1al\u00f3. En ese caso, a\u00f1adi\u00f3, el oficialismo podr\u00eda imponerse en primera vuelta.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"21\">El profesor indic\u00f3 que una oposici\u00f3n unificada puede alterar esa relaci\u00f3n. Gervasoni cit\u00f3 el caso de un oficialismo con 40% frente a una fuerza opositora que alcance 47%.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"el-peso-politico-de-la-confianza-publica\">El peso pol\u00edtico de la confianza p\u00fablica<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"22\">Al mismo tiempo sostuvo que<b> los gobiernos siguen de cerca los indicadores de opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica<\/b> porque influyen sobre su capacidad de gesti\u00f3n. Una administraci\u00f3n con mayor respaldo puede encontrar mejores condiciones para impulsar leyes.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_4 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_4\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_4\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"23\"><b>\u201cCuando un Gobierno es popular, es apoyado, aun legisladores que no son oficialistas est\u00e1n mejor dispuestos a acompa\u00f1ar al Gobierno<\/b>\u201d, afirm\u00f3. El docente vincul\u00f3 ese efecto con la gobernabilidad.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"24\">El \u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno recibe atenci\u00f3n del periodismo, las consultoras, los sectores productivos y los mercados financieros. Gervasoni atribuy\u00f3 ese inter\u00e9s a la continuidad metodol\u00f3gica de la serie.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"25\">La Universidad Torcuato Di Tella mide el indicador desde hace un cuarto de siglo. El acad\u00e9mico afirm\u00f3 que esa continuidad permite observar cambios sin modificar la forma de elaboraci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/65S6SR2VWFBM7HAHOGQLJJMYXE.jpg?auth=53f7d7083757799fc6a46264173359190ebc22f55e0dbea2ee110c8c0a15a424&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/65S6SR2VWFBM7HAHOGQLJJMYXE.jpg?auth=53f7d7083757799fc6a46264173359190ebc22f55e0dbea2ee110c8c0a15a424&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/65S6SR2VWFBM7HAHOGQLJJMYXE.jpg?auth=53f7d7083757799fc6a46264173359190ebc22f55e0dbea2ee110c8c0a15a424&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/65S6SR2VWFBM7HAHOGQLJJMYXE.jpg?auth=53f7d7083757799fc6a46264173359190ebc22f55e0dbea2ee110c8c0a15a424&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/65S6SR2VWFBM7HAHOGQLJJMYXE.jpg?auth=53f7d7083757799fc6a46264173359190ebc22f55e0dbea2ee110c8c0a15a424&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"La gesti\u00f3n de Javier Milei re\u00fane mayor respaldo entre los hombres y en la poblaci\u00f3n que reside fuera de la Capital Federal y el Gran Buenos Aires\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1080\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/65S6SR2VWFBM7HAHOGQLJJMYXE.jpg?auth=53f7d7083757799fc6a46264173359190ebc22f55e0dbea2ee110c8c0a15a424&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1920\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"26\">Gervasoni se\u00f1al\u00f3 que existen numerosos estudios de opini\u00f3n p\u00fablica con distintos niveles de conocimiento y calidad. Frente a esa diversidad, destac\u00f3 la trayectoria de la universidad como referencia para analizar datos.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_5 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_5\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"27\"><b>\u201cTenemos en la Di Tella muy bien establecida esta trayectoria\u201d<\/b>, dijo. Agreg\u00f3 que la instituci\u00f3n procura elaborar el indicador \u201csin ning\u00fan tipo de sesgo o intencionalidad pol\u00edtica\u201d.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"los-patrones-historicos-que-observa-la-di-tella\">Los patrones hist\u00f3ricos que observa la Di Tella<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"28\">El an\u00e1lisis hist\u00f3rico del \u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno identifica un patr\u00f3n frecuente al inicio de las administraciones. Gervasoni explic\u00f3 que <b>la mayor\u00eda comienza con niveles altos de apoyo y luego enfrenta descensos.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"29\">El profesor defini\u00f3 ese per\u00edodo inicial como una \u201cluna de miel\u201d. Seg\u00fan su descripci\u00f3n, <b>los gobiernos suelen perder respaldo durante sus primeros meses y a\u00f1os<\/b>, aunque la evoluci\u00f3n no sigue una l\u00ednea uniforme.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"30\">Las crisis tambi\u00e9n pueden modificar la percepci\u00f3n p\u00fablica. Gervasoni mencion\u00f3 el inicio de la pandemia de COVID-19 como el momento de mayor confianza de los \u00faltimos 25 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<div class=\"ad_6 ad-wrapper dfpAd ad-1-al-6 ad-text ad-component-container\" style=\"--ad-shell-height:250px;--ad-shell-width:300px\" data-ad-wrapper=\"arcad\" data-ad-type=\"ad_6\" data-ad-slot=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_6\" data-ad-container=\"dfp\" data-ad-slot-name=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_6\">\n<p class=\"ad-shell-label\">PUBLICIDAD<\/p>\n<div id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_6\" class=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_6 arcad ad-slot-node ad-slot-node--boxed\" data-ad-slot-id=\"infobae\/politica\/nota\/ad_6\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"31\"><b>\u201cEl momento pr\u00e1cticamente pico del ICG en estos veinticinco a\u00f1os fue en abril del 2020\u201d<\/b>, afirm\u00f3. El registro correspondi\u00f3 al gobierno de Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez, despu\u00e9s del inicio del aislamiento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"32\">Asimismo explic\u00f3 que esa suba respondi\u00f3 a un fen\u00f3meno conocido en la ciencia pol\u00edtica. Durante algunas crisis, parte de la poblaci\u00f3n se agrupa detr\u00e1s de las autoridades nacionales.<\/p>\n<div class=\"visual__image\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/D7D46FOR4VESJBVSKJHCX77A6A.jpg?auth=66241bb216d1997486a81fc5e7925b47ea21b177826635a882293a9d0bb2e496&amp;smart=true&amp;width=992&amp;height=558&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 1000px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/D7D46FOR4VESJBVSKJHCX77A6A.jpg?auth=66241bb216d1997486a81fc5e7925b47ea21b177826635a882293a9d0bb2e496&amp;smart=true&amp;width=768&amp;height=432&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 768px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/D7D46FOR4VESJBVSKJHCX77A6A.jpg?auth=66241bb216d1997486a81fc5e7925b47ea21b177826635a882293a9d0bb2e496&amp;smart=true&amp;width=577&amp;height=325&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 580px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/D7D46FOR4VESJBVSKJHCX77A6A.jpg?auth=66241bb216d1997486a81fc5e7925b47ea21b177826635a882293a9d0bb2e496&amp;smart=true&amp;width=420&amp;height=236&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 350px)\"><\/source><source srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/D7D46FOR4VESJBVSKJHCX77A6A.jpg?auth=66241bb216d1997486a81fc5e7925b47ea21b177826635a882293a9d0bb2e496&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" media=\"(min-width: 80px)\"><\/source><img alt=\"Javier Milei en Nueva York - sesi\u00f3n extraordinaria del Escudo de las Am\u00e9ricas\" class=\"global-image\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"low\" height=\"1080\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.infobae.com\/resizer\/v2\/D7D46FOR4VESJBVSKJHCX77A6A.jpg?auth=66241bb216d1997486a81fc5e7925b47ea21b177826635a882293a9d0bb2e496&amp;smart=true&amp;width=350&amp;height=197&amp;quality=85\" width=\"1920\"><\/picture><\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"33\">El \u00edndice de Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez cay\u00f3 en los meses posteriores, seg\u00fan relat\u00f3 el acad\u00e9mico. La gesti\u00f3n termin\u00f3 con uno de los niveles m\u00e1s bajos de toda la serie.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"text-align-left vertical-align-top line-height-100 header headline-class-h2 headline\" id=\"inflacion-campana-y-diferencias-territoriales\">Inflaci\u00f3n, campa\u00f1a y diferencias territoriales<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"34\">Gervasoni identific\u00f3 a la inflaci\u00f3n como una variable que afecta la confianza en el Gobierno. <b>\u201cHay evidencia emp\u00edrica de que la inflaci\u00f3n es muy perjudicial\u201d para ese indicador<\/b>, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"35\">El profesor tambi\u00e9n observ\u00f3 que algunas administraciones recuperan parte de su respaldo hacia el final del mandato. Relacion\u00f3 ese movimiento con el <b>inicio de las campa\u00f1as electorales y una mayor comunicaci\u00f3n oficial.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"36\">La serie hist\u00f3rica muestra diferencias entre sectores sociales seg\u00fan cada Gobierno. Gervasoni indic\u00f3 que las administraciones peronistas tienden a reunir mayor apoyo entre los grupos socioecon\u00f3micos bajos.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"37\">En la gesti\u00f3n de Javier Milei, el \u00edndice registra mayor confianza entre los hombres y entre quienes viven fuera de la Capital Federal y el Gran Buenos Aires. <b>Gervasoni defini\u00f3 esa distribuci\u00f3n territorial como \u201cuna cosa muy peculiar de este Gobierno\u201d.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"38\">El docente vincul\u00f3 ese comportamiento con el apoyo que La Libertad Avanza obtuvo desde la elecci\u00f3n de Milei. Seg\u00fan explic\u00f3, <b>el fen\u00f3meno aparece tanto en los resultados electorales como en las encuestas de confianza.<\/b><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"39\">Inform\u00f3 que la Universidad Torcuato Di Tella public\u00f3 el informe de septiembre y un art\u00edculo acad\u00e9mico sobre la evoluci\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica del \u00edndice, elaborado junto con su colega Agustina de Leo.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"40\">\u2013<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"41\"><b>Infobae <\/b>te acompa\u00f1a cada d\u00eda en YouTube con entrevistas, an\u00e1lisis y la informaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s destacada, en un formato cercano y din\u00e1mico.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"42\">\u2022 De 7 a 9: <b>Infobae al Amanecer<\/b>: Nacho Giron, Luciana Rubinska y Bel\u00e9n Escobar.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"43\">\u2022 De 9 a 12: <b>Infobae a las Nueve<\/b>: Gonzalo S\u00e1nchez, Tatiana Schapiro, Ram\u00f3n Indart y Cecilia Boufflet.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"44\">\u2022 De 12 a 15: <b>Infobae al Mediodia<\/b>: Maru Duffard, Andrei Serbin Pont, Fede Mayol y Facundo Kablan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"45\">\u2022 De 15 a 18: <b>Infobae a la Tarde<\/b>: Manu Jove, Maia Jastreblansky y Paula Guardia Bourdin; rotan en la semana Marcos Shaw, Lara L\u00f3pez Calvo y Tom\u00e1s Trap\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"46\">\u2022 De 18 a 21: <b>Infobae al Regreso<\/b>: Gonzalo Aziz, Diego Iglesias, Malena de los R\u00edos y Mat\u00edas Barber\u00eda; rotan en la semana Gustavo Lazzari, Mart\u00edn Tetaz y Mica Mendelevich<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph\" data-paragraph-number=\"47\">Seguinos en nuestro canal de<a rel=\"noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@Infobae\" target=\"_blank\"> <i><b>YouTube <\/b><\/i><i>@infobae<\/i><\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EscucharPuntos claveResumen La Universidad Torcuato Di Tella elabora la medici\u00f3n mediante una encuesta nacional a mil personas basada en cinco preguntas sobre la gesti\u00f3n p\u00fablica 30 Sep, 2026 07:47 a. m. EST Guardar El \u00cdndice de Confianza en el Gobierno cay\u00f3 5,9% en septiembre y registr\u00f3 bajas en sus cinco componentes. La medici\u00f3n abarca a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28602\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28603"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cliente1.publisher.highstack.com.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}